Movies · resolved market
Will Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ef00891d2ac91abb2fb364a723ceb78911840b7ae944f7c6763ab5ee09ca6bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 37c | 836.08$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.89 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked Yes | 57c | 828$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.04 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e55…59d2backed No | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb20…40a6backed No | 36c | 781$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…5eafbacked No | 43c | 771$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.53 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…0c79backed No | 42c | 758$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.36 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…0451backed Yes | 57c | 751$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…f59bbacked No | 43c | 733$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.19 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…6b99backed No | 42c | 709$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.78 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked Yes | 57c | 660$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.8 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed Yes | 57c | 631$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.33 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…5bc1backed Yes | 58c | 623$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.66 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 60c | 621.41$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.66 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed No | 43c | 607$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.01 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…3421backed No | 43c | 598$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.14 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…7154backed Yes | 58c | 597$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.74 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cae…c0eebacked Yes | 57c | 550$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 62c | 543.01$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.73 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…c453backed Yes | 57c | 526$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.18 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed Yes | 57c | 505$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.15 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82e4…fa57backed No | 43c | 467$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.81 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc886…696fbacked Yes | 57c | 431$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…e1babacked No | 43c | 416$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.88 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed No | 43c | 406$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.58 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…f199backed No | 43c | 398$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.14 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked Yes | 58c | 387$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.54 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed No | 43c | 381$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.83 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd11f…2d2cbacked Yes | 57c | 372$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 62c | 369$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.56 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed Yes | 57c | 361$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.23 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed No | 43c | 361$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.23 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5518…1211backed Yes | 58c | 342$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.64 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked Yes | 58c | 338$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.96 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked No | 42c | 332$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.44 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…6bc2backed No | 44c | 323$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.12 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…d40bbacked No | 43c | 309$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.87 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…6232backed Yes | 58c | 308$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.36 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9151backed No | 43c | 301$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.43 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes | 58c | 298$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.16 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 63c | 289$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.61 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea25…d3aabacked No | 42c | 283$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.86 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked Yes | 58c | 274$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.08 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbec…8dccbacked No | 42c | 274$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.08 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…3137backed No | 39c | 269.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes | 57c | 266$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.38 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed No | 43c | 265$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fb…3e92backed Yes | 62c | 254.27$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 39c | 249.54$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed Yes | 56c | 246$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked No | 43c | 246$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…a3e1backed Yes | 57c | 246$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.78 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed Yes | 58c | 236$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 31c | 230.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…e4d7backed Yes | 40c | 230$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…a539backed Yes | 58c | 225$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…c285backed No | 43c | 212$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 61c | 205.85$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4974backed Yes | 58c | 204$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed No | 23c | 190.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…ed7fbacked Yes | 40c | 189$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…8842backed Yes | 58c | 188$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…f3dcbacked No | 42c | 180$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed Yes | 57c | 176$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…0cbcbacked Yes | 56c | 175$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…9b58backed Yes | 68c | 170.34$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…602bbacked No | 33c | 168.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f83…7bf4backed Yes | 67c | 168.66$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ba…0705backed Yes | 40c | 168$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked No | 49c | 161.31$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.95 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -44%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 56c | 151$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd81…ae79backed Yes | 58c | 140$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd19a…5b88backed No | 43c | 138$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…9930backed No | 43c | 131$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc205…eec2backed Yes | 76c | 130.42$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ef…af8ebacked Yes | 40c | 130$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f1…311cbacked Yes | 40c | 124$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d71…2c9bbacked Yes | 40c | 119$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 37c | 118.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed No | 43c | 117$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…0da3backed No | 43c | 116$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 39c | 107.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa251…993fbacked No | 60c | 106$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 1.1%1 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…abe1backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…0fbdbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…f786backed No | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed Yes | 65c | 98.49$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed No | 44c | 98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…e68dbacked No | 42c | 97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…853cbacked Yes | 40c | 89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 41c | 87.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5a…d95fbacked No | 60c | 87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 37c | 86.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d44…d50bbacked Yes | 40c | 85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ce…cf90backed No | 60c | 83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…649cbacked No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…90ecbacked Yes | 40c | 79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f11…17f3backed Yes | 40c | 79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?this page
- Will Aimee Lou Wood (The White Lotus) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Catherine O'Hara (The Studio) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Hannah Einbinder (Hacks) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Jenny Slate (Dying for Sex) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Laurie Metcalf (Monster: The Ed Gein Story) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Parker Posey (The White Lotus) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.