Movies · resolved market

Will Hannah Einbinder (Hacks) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf237c3ca54fe49f94cdcd1177673ab8636986722285d45593d2a205f6168f34b

Rebuilt 57 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 12, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $66,099
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $66,264

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,099 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd40d…b2fabacked No	78c	1,176$917 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.72	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d17…1e5ebacked No	73c	1,137$826 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.13	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+3.7wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b74…93f7backed No	78c	1,065$836 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.27	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x605c…83dcbacked No	77c	968$745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.64	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c09…28d0backed No	77c	962$741 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.26	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf51b…bf74backed Yes	23c	936$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.28	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-3.3wins	-0.12per pick	38cpaid	-38%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5784…4018backed Yes	23c	903$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.69	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x59d7…0217backed No	77c	874$673 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.02	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0895…4ddebacked No	77c	853$657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.19	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+57.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf25d…8b1ebacked No	75c	801$601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.4	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ead…6c75backed Yes	23c	782$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.86	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-44%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf955…bb33backed No	78c	763$595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.86	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x293b…c83bbacked Yes	22c	743$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.46	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…ee5abacked Yes	23c	704$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.92	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c0…c4c9backed No	78c	700$546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No	76c	699.2$533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.97	130	40%52 W · 78 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x81ba…b311backed Yes	29c	683$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.07	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71f6…ea40backed Yes	20c	677$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.28	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee9e…efb7backed Yes	23c	668$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.64	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5884…3191backed No	71c	665$472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.85	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf58d…a617backed No	71c	656$466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.24	20	55%11 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8727…83d7backed Yes	23c	653$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.19	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6159…7501backed Yes	29c	645$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.05	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x523d…cc1dbacked No	77c	644$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.12	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.7wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8624…b484backed Yes	22c	625$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.5	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c04…b9b4backed Yes	21c	617$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.57	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.1wins	-0.23per pick	45cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x245c…75e7backed Yes	23c	614$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.22	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-5.3wins	-0.21per pick	45cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	77c	555$426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.73	482	36.3%175 W · 307 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83be…6f94backed Yes	29c	552$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.08	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+4.6wins	+0.21per pick	47cpaid	+49.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd4f3…be1dbacked No	71c	543$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.47	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+4.6wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+30%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x14d4…cc6fbacked No	77c	530$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.9	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd907…f15fbacked Yes	23c	524$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.52	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76f8…5145backed No	78c	512$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.64	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2abd…74ebbacked Yes	29c	511$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.19	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-3.0wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-53%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f5c…91bfbacked No	77c	509$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.07	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+2.9wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b8d…24efbacked Yes	23c	506$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.38	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5cf…90e6backed No	50c	495$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.5	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6891…1146backed Yes	43c	493$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.99	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f5…b750backed Yes	19c	488$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.72	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+2.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bef…1e38backed No	77c	484$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.32	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb1…c4e8backed No	78c	474$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.28	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d93…7f30backed Yes	23c	463$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.49	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-3.2wins	-0.20per pick	38cpaid	-64.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec92…1214backed Yes	23c	461$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.03	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b47…9930backed Yes	25c	461$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.35	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+5.6wins	+0.21per pick	44cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0acc…debabacked Yes	22c	435$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.7	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4559…f02bbacked Yes	22c	433$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.26	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd81…ae79backed Yes	23c	431$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.05	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.23per pick	44cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd91d…91fdbacked Yes	19c	425$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.75	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	-70.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa44b…eb27backed Yes	23c	421$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.83	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa692…8ec9backed No	77c	416$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.68	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b2f…c453backed No	78c	413$322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.86	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd98f…5afdbacked No	50c	411$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.5	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5fa…f3f8backed Yes	50c	404$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1ec…46cebacked No	78c	402$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.44	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd8…757abacked Yes	50c	397$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.5	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+4.1wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x63a2…3dfcbacked No	78c	395$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.9	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.6wins	-0.29per pick	62cpaid	-54.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa05d…3e96backed No	78c	387$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.14	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b82…1712backed Yes	22c	386$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.92	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x636c…ea28backed Yes	22c	383$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.26	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes	29c	380$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.18	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x708a…68b9backed Yes	22c	379$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.38	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d91…89d8backed Yes	22c	375$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.5	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-59%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes	23c	373$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.79	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4653…65c5backed Yes	23c	372$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.56	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2ff…b38fbacked Yes	29c	370$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d8…9f12backed Yes	23c	368$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.64	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad04…dce5backed Yes	21c	360$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.6	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-17%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfdb7…6cd5backed No	71c	357$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.53	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-3.7wins	-0.19per pick	46cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6034…b5fdbacked Yes	22c	356$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.32	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd19a…5b88backed Yes	23c	353$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.19	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64c2…c527backed No	75c	346$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.02	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6f…deaebacked Yes	22c	344$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.68	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae4…d837backed No	78c	337$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.14	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0733…cd5abacked No	77c	329$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.67	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-59.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x546a…1abbbacked Yes	19c	326$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.94	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb212…0f8ebacked No	79c	320$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.2	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.12per pick	41cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb85b…77dbbacked No	52c	319$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.12	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d2b…fd2cbacked Yes	48c	319$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.12	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.5wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe335…cd12backed No	77c	315$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.45	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fbd…1598backed No	77c	312$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.76	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1056…5b18backed Yes	22c	311$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.42	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x184f…a48fbacked No	78c	301$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.22	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-63.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64c9…6bdebacked Yes	23c	296$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.08	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-3.8wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbdaf…f63cbacked No	78c	292$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.24	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6558…e485backed No	57c	285$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.55	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x169a…55e4backed Yes	19c	281$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.39	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x163a…70a2backed No	77c	279$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.17	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ec…62aabacked Yes	22c	277$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.94	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6388…f668backed No	78c	277$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.94	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.15per pick	42cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5383…88f0backed Yes	29c	275$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.75	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-5.2wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0042…e62fbacked Yes	19c	274$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.06	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde45…8238backed Yes	22c	270$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.4	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-3.0wins	-0.25per pick	42cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xca87…3701backed Yes	22c	263$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.86	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+3.6wins	+0.23per pick	40cpaid	+118.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8e3e…0959backed No	79c	257$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.97	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.1wins	-0.24per pick	47cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a10…e442backed Yes	22c	255$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.1	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+2.7wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+37.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6951…cb02backed No	78c	255$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.1	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f81…e93fbacked No	79c	253$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	14	85.7%12 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.11per pick	74cpaid	+17%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5516…2263backed Yes	23c	252$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.96	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd719…d8e5backed No	78c	249$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.78	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf40b…7181backed No	71c	238$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.02	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Hannah Einbinder (Hacks) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?this page
Will Aimee Lou Wood (The White Lotus) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
Will Catherine O'Hara (The Studio) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
Will Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?Yes won
Will Jenny Slate (Dying for Sex) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
Will Laurie Metcalf (Monster: The Ed Gein Story) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
Will Parker Posey (The White Lotus) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Hannah Einbinder (Hacks) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event