World Politics · resolved market
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91e4c09eba4284346f8b55af4b6165aa49b937e9d68338873515ba6d99b6e8f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8db1…8269backed Yes | 43c | 6,261$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,683.97 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…8d6cbacked Yes | 3c | 4,065$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 4cpaid | +681.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes | 41c | 3,086$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.19 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 11c | 2,726$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +6.5wins | +0.26per pick | 22cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed No | 52c | 1,798$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.19 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53de…b486backed Yes | 52c | 1,750$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4c…d411backed No | 63c | 1,710$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.98 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked No | 53c | 1,455$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.87 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed No | 46c | 1,454$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.04 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…5adebacked Yes | 52c | 1,413$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…333fbacked No | 47c | 1,302$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…a73cbacked No | 47c | 1,298$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 53c | 1,282$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.28 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1abbbacked Yes | 39c | 1,270$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1832…af9ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,243$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9982…23c1backed Yes | 38c | 1,209$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +1,655.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02b…e86dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,196$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…d725backed No | 58c | 1,167$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa462…263bbacked Yes | 46c | 1,125$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +390%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…5afdbacked No | 60c | 1,088$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…6bdebacked No | 49c | 1,051$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.01 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Yes | 49c | 1,047$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.78 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5516…2263backed No | 61c | 1,038$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…6f1abacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 2cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 29c | 978.71$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.17 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked Yes | 50c | 978$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…e974backed Yes | 53c | 969$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9e…bd49backed Yes | 53c | 924$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…a0c9backed No | 46c | 906$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b92…f4c6backed No | 60c | 905$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…7260backed No | 51c | 900$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed No | 51c | 883$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.67 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +288.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…f5bebacked Yes | 53c | 882$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5518…1211backed Yes | 50c | 862$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…6b99backed Yes | 53c | 836$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…55d9backed Yes | 39c | 834$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…88f0backed No | 50c | 798$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +154%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…50f8backed No | 47c | 790$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…e98bbacked No | 47c | 790$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…8be4backed Yes | 53c | 783$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +224.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…1d3fbacked No | 47c | 778$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 54c | 772.38$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.91 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…9ae0backed No | 61c | 764$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b2…9ae2backed Yes | 53c | 734$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…8842backed Yes | 54c | 733$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked Yes | 40c | 731$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb407…a978backed Yes | 53c | 727$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Yes | 53c | 722$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.27 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…a617backed No | 59c | 709$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…9767backed Yes | 55c | 701$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd008…e9dbbacked Yes | 42c | 691$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…b38fbacked Yes | 53c | 690$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +55%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…0cbcbacked Yes | 53c | 683$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked Yes | 53c | 680$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x322a…3274backed No | 47c | 675$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed Yes | 41c | 673$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ba…b311backed No | 47c | 669$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.57 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 41cpaid | +207.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d93…7f30backed No | 58c | 658$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked Yes | 40c | 647$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed Yes | 44c | 646$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a7a9backed Yes | 53c | 642$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed No | 49c | 638$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed Yes | 40c | 636$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 37cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…95e1backed Yes | 39c | 631$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b2…567cbacked Yes | 40c | 621$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…e642backed No | 52c | 620$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed No | 50c | 619$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked Yes | 43c | 606$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked Yes | 52c | 605$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.81 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…09e0backed Yes | 53c | 605$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…f59bbacked Yes | 40c | 599$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c1…2f84backed No | 61c | 584$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed Yes | 53c | 579$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.87 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…6d90backed No | 50c | 573$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 56c | 572.93$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.37 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2145…1e5dbacked No | 58c | 571$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…85b7backed Yes | 53c | 568$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…001dbacked Yes | 42c | 568$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…5bc1backed Yes | 55c | 560$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked No | 47c | 560$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +125%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…76d5backed No | 47c | 559$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.27 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked Yes | 53c | 545$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…1598backed Yes | 51c | 537$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3adcbacked No | 61c | 537$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked Yes | 53c | 535$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…77dbbacked No | 47c | 525$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfda4…1058backed No | 60c | 515$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed Yes | 53c | 510$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…703cbacked Yes | 53c | 507$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.71 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed No | 58c | 504$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed No | 47c | 496$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…4a8ebacked Yes | 39c | 490$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed No | 47c | 488$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea25…d3aabacked Yes | 47c | 487$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.95 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…3421backed No | 47c | 487$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55b…857bbacked No | 49c | 486$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…95c9backed No | 58c | 480$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b71…f1d9backed No | 47c | 480$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed No | 47c | 477$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.81 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 27cpaid | +142%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked No | 50c | 476$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?this page
- Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 0–5 years in prison?No won
- Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?No won
- Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?No won
- Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to at least 20 years in prison?Yes won
- Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to no prison time?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.