World Politics · resolved market
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3875db09e559420d7b59bc646648c1b24d55ba3bf2210a7ae6a4d160c61a73cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcec8…6c77backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db1…8269backed Yes | 20c | 7,248$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.09 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…8d6cbacked No | 2c | 3,900$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,816.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 4cpaid | +681.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Yes | 23c | 2,928$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.37 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed No | 10c | 2,376$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +147.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9982…23c1backed Yes | 5c | 1,539$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +1,655.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,481$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.21 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b24…c4bebacked Yes | 23c | 1,239$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa462…263bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,230$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +390%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0956…9aa4backed No | 74c | 1,174$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 1,104$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e15…7ff5backed No | 74c | 1,102$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.52 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 15c | 1,080$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.16 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,079$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 16c | 1,063$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…bdf1backed No | 74c | 1,037$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 4c | 1,002$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…6f1abacked No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 2cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d5…59cebacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 1cpaid | +4,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed No | 76c | 995.92$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.81 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 13c | 990.01$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…a48fbacked No | 74c | 949$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8d51backed No | 76c | 934.76$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.42 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 17c | 930$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.04 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc03…cd5cbacked No | 74c | 880$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed Yes | 26c | 856$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2d…caf4backed Yes | 26c | 833$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcabd…3764backed Yes | 26c | 833$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +206.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0ec1backed No | 74c | 829$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…d593backed Yes | 8c | 829$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…08cbbacked Yes | 26c | 810$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed No | 76c | 800.7$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.28 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…c4c9backed No | 80c | 795$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…af45backed Yes | 26c | 782$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…b18ebacked No | 74c | 772$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…d8e3backed Yes | 26c | 764$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked Yes | 20c | 747$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…f562backed No | 74c | 736$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…a94dbacked Yes | 27c | 703$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…d190backed Yes | 26c | 691$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.66 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…b167backed No | 73c | 643$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.61 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa400…ec34backed No | 79c | 635$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…26fdbacked Yes | 26c | 629$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +211.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…6569backed Yes | 26c | 624$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…e392backed Yes | 26c | 614$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…89d8backed No | 73c | 591$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d2…6698backed Yes | 26c | 588$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…78cbbacked No | 74c | 583$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed Yes | 26c | 578$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5baa…0ec6backed No | 74c | 563$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +183.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…debabacked Yes | 26c | 545$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…e68dbacked Yes | 19c | 543$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +218.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…b842backed Yes | 19c | 531$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 505.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7057…e59cbacked Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…35bebacked No | 74c | 491$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +261.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 27c | 477.23$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.23 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +28.4wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Yes | 19c | 466$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.54 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…30c2backed Yes | 21c | 465.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +62%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…e62fbacked No | 73c | 449$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.23 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…a8c5backed Yes | 27c | 449$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…c2dfbacked No | 74c | 430$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa692…8ec9backed Yes | 26c | 412$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b8…0c87backed No | 74c | 410$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked Yes | 16c | 400.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.46 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…bb1dbacked Yes | 26c | 395$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…6284backed No | 74c | 389$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…52f9backed Yes | 26c | 376$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -77%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb6…6d5fbacked Yes | 26c | 367$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…95e1backed No | 74c | 367$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 13c | 353.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf738…56bdbacked No | 74c | 336$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…ddf2backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…001dbacked No | 74c | 325$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked Yes | 26c | 325$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…28d0backed Yes | 26c | 316$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8e…9be8backed No | 74c | 315$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed Yes | 21c | 305.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e96…c895backed Yes | 26c | 305$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…7699backed Yes | 26c | 281$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…8238backed No | 74c | 273$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…ab94backed Yes | 26c | 264$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 6c | 261.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed Yes | 21c | 259$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…4569backed No | 74c | 256$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e72…7de5backed Yes | 27c | 251$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked Yes | 19c | 233$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…09a9backed Yes | 26c | 232$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…69e5backed Yes | 26c | 231$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…24efbacked Yes | 26c | 230$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…cfc1backed No | 74c | 229$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca87…3701backed Yes | 26c | 229$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 22c | 228.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34be…6797backed No | 74c | 227$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0acbbacked No | 73c | 223.79$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 26c | 221.66$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755e…7b04backed Yes | 26c | 208$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…6e53backed Yes | 26c | 205$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f81…d260backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8153backed No | 80c | 197$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +493.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?this page
- Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 0–5 years in prison?No won
- Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?No won
- Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?No won
- Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to at least 20 years in prison?Yes won
- Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to no prison time?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.