Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac316778ca5e865a589261ab78ff18ef0553789aa2e55da9e6090685d76c549b

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 21, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $109,353
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $100,209

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,353 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcec8…6c77backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-78.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes	32c	6,771$2,149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,149.46	83	30.1%25 W · 58 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9982…23c1backed Yes	28c	2,840$797 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$796.85	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+1,655.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff77…4b76backed Yes	28c	2,677$748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$747.53	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f5…6824backed Yes	17c	2,163$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.69	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes	15c	2,020$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.46	96	13.5%13 W · 83 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5b3…4155backed Yes	20c	1,936$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.27	83	41%34 W · 49 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+18%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes	34c	1,493$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.06	40	45%18 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d38…e898backed Yes	23c	1,371$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.33	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7616…69eebacked No	77c	1,343$1,035 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308.03	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked No	58c	1,339$779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560.37	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f0…fe05backed Yes	25c	1,227$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.21	58	17.2%10 W · 48 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1bf…a751backed Yes	23c	1,128$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.44	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1832…af9ebacked No	77c	1,111$855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.53	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	+89.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33e2…e1babacked Yes	20c	976$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.2	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f6…ea40backed Yes	23c	934$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.82	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.18per pick	37cpaid	+49.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8507…7f61backed Yes	20c	918$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.82	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8697…4165backed Yes	19c	856$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.64	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8669…7111backed No	80c	835$668 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff74…24f0backed Yes	23c	833$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.59	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadc9…5856backed No	78c	824$644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.78	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb212…0f8ebacked Yes	18c	816$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.88	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	64c	709.47$451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.22	322	55%177 W · 145 L	+14.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa647…d77dbacked Yes	19c	697$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.41	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ea1…6487backed No	77c	694$534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.62	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bc4…4a8ebacked Yes	19c	691$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.29	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76f8…5145backed No	78c	643$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.77	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f0d…1683backed No	78c	609$478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.26	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91d…91fdbacked No	80c	580$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	+84.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8718…6741backed Yes	19c	572$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.68	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2abd…74ebbacked Yes	18c	556$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.08	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.23per pick	51cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43c5…4d00backed Yes	14c	521$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.38	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10bc…0451backed Yes	22c	518$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.96	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4883…ce56backed Yes	17c	518$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.06	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+2.3wins	+0.47per pick	33cpaid	+268.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x159f…333fbacked Yes	18c	494$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.92	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa906…84e4backed No	78c	484$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.68	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	76c	476.09$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.46	316	35.1%111 W · 205 L	-11.1wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ce…3c8ebacked No	77c	473$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.79	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14d4…cc6fbacked Yes	22c	467$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.45	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.22per pick	45cpaid	-70.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Yes	44c	459.99$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.4	25	72%18 W · 7 L	+5.8wins	+0.23per pick	49cpaid	+56%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x47b7…c5babacked Yes	39c	439.27$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.56	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	+53.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e35…384fbacked Yes	17c	406$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.02	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+37%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8401…a498backed Yes	17c	405$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.85	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.19per pick	28cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d91…89d8backed Yes	19c	404$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.76	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19cd…f7ffbacked No	77c	403$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.69	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.19per pick	51cpaid	+70%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf528…4441backed Yes	23c	393$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.39	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204d…08cbbacked Yes	19c	391$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.29	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa15b…200fbacked Yes	20c	389$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.8	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	33cpaid	+84.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2a…06a2backed Yes	40c	385.72$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…9a60backed Yes	17c	380$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.6	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fcd…0c32backed Yes	17c	377$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.09	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e36…2479backed Yes	17c	376$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.92	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6587…4f63backed Yes	17c	375$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.75	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	+9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x787a…a54dbacked No	77c	372$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.56	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x451a…a0c9backed Yes	23c	372$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.56	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+84.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ec…62aabacked Yes	19c	358$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.5	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde2b…73a0backed Yes	17c	358$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.86	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb40…3612backed No	79c	356.88$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.69	74	16.2%12 W · 62 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf8…ded2backed Yes	17c	344$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.48	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb25c…6d89backed No	77c	343$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.89	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+2.5wins	+0.23per pick	59cpaid	+22%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No	59c	342.48$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.05	91	23.1%21 W · 70 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+42.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f5…d7aabacked No	77c	335$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.05	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eae…3562backed Yes	17c	334$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.78	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+123.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5676…b103backed Yes	22c	313.92$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.72	205	38%78 W · 127 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d17…1e5ebacked Yes	17c	313$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.21	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04d4…be7cbacked Yes	18c	307$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.59	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fe6…d8e3backed Yes	19c	307$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.33	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.23per pick	43cpaid	-73%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90b6…a1b0backed Yes	23c	305.26$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.6	44	25%11 W · 33 L	+3.1wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	+61.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb123…273cbacked Yes	18c	300$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.2	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24e4…09dcbacked No	80c	298$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.6	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x848d…76c1backed Yes	17c	291$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.47	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x117b…a82dbacked Yes	20c	290$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x993c…eae0backed Yes	17c	286$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.62	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d24…a2e9backed Yes	17c	278$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.26	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	28cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e4…b332backed Yes	22c	276$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.72	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde49…5c3dbacked Yes	21c	274.24$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x466e…ed99backed Yes	17c	273$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.41	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea25…d3aabacked Yes	19c	253$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.07	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1b7…d913backed Yes	19c	248$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.12	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864f…3ae7backed Yes	49c	247.41$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54d5…b5cebacked Yes	17c	235$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.95	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	+69.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a4c…d411backed Yes	17c	220$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d7…8c45backed Yes	17c	219$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.23	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.9wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7c2…fcbebacked Yes	17c	219$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.23	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No	65c	218.43$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.22	182	46.2%84 W · 98 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x502b…a7a9backed Yes	20c	217$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.4	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d2…6698backed No	80c	216$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.2	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2ff…b38fbacked No	77c	209$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.07	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	+55%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x10d8…9f12backed Yes	20c	204$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.8	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	77c	199.99$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	549	34.6%190 W · 359 L	-37.0wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	21c	198.86$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.07	563	14.6%82 W · 481 L	-39.3wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ecb…b5e3backed Yes	17c	197$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.49	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.23per pick	37cpaid	+124.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8151…3421backed Yes	20c	197$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.4	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d9…bacbbacked No	80c	194$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.8	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa400…ec34backed No	77c	194$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.62	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	64cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507c…4166backed Yes	20c	193.99$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.85	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes	17c	192$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.64	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3bc…43e9backed Yes	17c	191$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.47	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.16per pick	39cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes	53c	190.59$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.63	449	21.2%95 W · 354 L	-21.7wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ae…44adbacked Yes	17c	185$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.45	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?this page
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 0–5 years in prison?No won
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?No won
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?No won
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to at least 20 years in prison?Yes won
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to no prison time?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event