Movies · resolved market
Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28a6e525811dde4de022b08f8d3325cf42ec26f38264d53065c99838ec997013
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb88…6b99backed Yes | 27c | 1,184$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.68 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked Yes | 28c | 1,063$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.41 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dd…5514backed Yes | 31c | 1,009$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.79 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74b8…0c87backed Yes | 32c | 839$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…9ef2backed Yes | 29c | 796$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.84 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed No | 68c | 708$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.56 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…b7d3backed No | 73c | 707$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c1…2f84backed No | 72c | 698$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8697…4165backed No | 72c | 612$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…ea40backed No | 70c | 606$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.8 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…c527backed No | 71c | 604$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.16 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d93…7f30backed Yes | 28c | 594$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.32 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…0cbcbacked Yes | 31c | 584$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.04 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked No | 69c | 570$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.7 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…200fbacked Yes | 30c | 554$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6317…e864backed Yes | 31c | 553$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.43 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…f8a1backed No | 69c | 533$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.04 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236e…02edbacked Yes | 3c | 513.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…1bb5backed No | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked No | 68c | 450$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e15…7ff5backed No | 69c | 441$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.71 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…09dcbacked No | 72c | 438$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.64 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…f5cebacked No | 73c | 431$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.37 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed Yes | 8c | 367.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked No | 69c | 354$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.74 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…5eafbacked No | 69c | 348$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.88 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed Yes | 31c | 342$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.02 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed Yes | 32c | 341$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.12 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…6284backed Yes | 28c | 323$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d4…9bd3backed Yes | 19c | 290.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…3562backed No | 72c | 219$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…6562backed Yes | 31c | 201$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 90 | 1.1%1 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed No | 71c | 192$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 9c | 188$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb304…1bffbacked Yes | 10c | 167.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e7…9bc7backed No | 69c | 126$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x786f…1405backed Yes | 34c | 116.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…a794backed Yes | 28c | 115$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa692…8ec9backed Yes | 28c | 94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 76c | 59.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 32c | 58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 77c | 55.87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…55d9backed Yes | 30c | 52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 68c | 51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…ab94backed No | 73c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d17…1e5ebacked No | 69c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…42fbbacked Yes | 39c | 30.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a58…da14backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)this page
- Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)Yes won
- Will "Priscilla" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.