TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Pacific Division?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,332
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,465

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,332 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes23c12,329$2,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,896.961,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb4e…c3c3backed Yes44c2,710$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.2521534.4%74 W · 141 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes40c2,256$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.452,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed No71c1,645$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.033844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf10…d318backed Yes28c1,538$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.2718931.2%59 W · 130 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ca…e8d0backed Yes26c1,358$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.896126.2%16 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes14c1,187$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.882711.1%3 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45fb…c3f5backed Yes13c1,181$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+92.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes47c875.03$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.264942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No62c869.31$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.593348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b2…5548backed Yes54c849.32$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.22911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-83.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes58c724.48$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.1511141.4%46 W · 65 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes3c594.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.644136.6%15 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02b4…5efabacked Yes15c549.2$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.69933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+86.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Yes39c535.96$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9515245.4%69 W · 83 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9945447.8%217 W · 237 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes61c479.73$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.339935.4%35 W · 64 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed45…929dbacked Yes11c463$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9340%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes6c430.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.88128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff68…b34ebacked Yes12c418$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504316.3%7 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes61c411.2$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.271216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d29…3644backed Yes13c396.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes11c319.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0510336.9%38 W · 65 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+2.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb25c…6d89backed Yes11c297$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes13c292.08$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.646811.8%8 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes51c282$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6920137.8%76 W · 125 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes17c267.42$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2522516.4%37 W · 188 L-1.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee9e…efb7backed Yes13c249$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked No49c241.21$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.112441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No41c222.53$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.7710848.1%52 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes9c216.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.622138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed Yes32c205.57$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.692458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Yes22c182.26$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.715751.6%81 W · 76 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Yes28c175$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.864637%17 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14d4…cc6fbacked Yes11c162$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8230%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No74c154.97$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8a4…0de2backed Yes8c146.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed Yes9c139.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.182661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69e5…4dc4backed Yes10c130.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.59333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b6…c324backed Yes10c127.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.743658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0833…794cbacked Yes28c122$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed Yes35c112$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.721752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No62c111.38$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.762853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700b…aa3cbacked Yes15c105$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e2…4c8bbacked Yes13c103$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.39333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710445.2%47 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd058…0613backed No69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.33751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No63c99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.353228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dc5…d5f6backed Yes15c99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes69c95.89$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1812438.7%48 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc42d…abd8backed Yes19c94.74$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-69.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd349…63f8backed No73c88.75$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.71560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b74…33f9backed Yes15c83.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed No28c80.07$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.81752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes14c80$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.461421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-63.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f3…a7fabacked Yes13c77$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4169…98e9backed No68c74.28$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No33c70$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.71464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca38…b6d0backed No80c62.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.631080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+49%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x46b4…72e9backed No34c62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.09425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes33c60.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.05119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-60.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x700f…d4e1backed Yes34c58.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe554…ee0ebacked Yes45c56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.17450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+70.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Yes26c55.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.311952.9%63 W · 56 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cb…8551backed Yes61c53.01$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.287657.9%44 W · 32 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes37c53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.611,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x036d…7cd9backed No62c48.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x266b…1988backed Yes45c44.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1560…1279backed No38c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.39per pick27cpaid+215.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe714…fbe9backed Yes67c38.91$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e3a…752fbacked No74c37.23$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.68450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+246.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb651…2089backed No69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.231637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.35875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+41.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Yes58c34.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016549.7%82 W · 83 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x741b…4a79backed No60c34.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.83977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecb9…f8bbbacked Yes44c34.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11d7…6839backed Yes75c34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed No74c33.83$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.836051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked No74c33.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.784060%24 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf544…8822backed No78c32.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a9…7e7bbacked No63c31.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.743100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+140.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f88…0111backed Yes58c30.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.85616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick47cpaid-65.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes39c30.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7127250%136 W · 136 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1c…ddeebacked No60c29.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed Yes50c29.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.484247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67f5…6be3backed No42c28.59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34dd…dbf8backed No75c26.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeac…4099backed Yes52c21.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.32714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.38per pick52cpaid-79%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1986…0cd0backed No74c20.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked No59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.27966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45fc…35c4backed Yes54c19.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafb1…0329backed Yes69c18.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.64955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b07…869abacked No67c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed No65c15.85$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.542458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6dd…c6b6backed Yes77c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.