Music · resolved market
Will "Sinners - Ludwig Göransson" win Best Score Soundtrack For Visual Media at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d0a354d3bcdd72888342e12120c396f4284423dba2d9fcebbbc8bb5bd556a0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 2c | 4,250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc0…4942backed No | 24c | 1,141$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…3421backed No | 24c | 805$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…09debacked Yes | 76c | 758$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked Yes | 76c | 569$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…0959backed No | 24c | 517$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…23c3backed Yes | 76c | 501$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…a2debacked No | 24c | 476$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…88f0backed Yes | 76c | 476$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…7501backed No | 24c | 434$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab9…2ff1backed No | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed Yes | 76c | 362$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…95e1backed No | 24c | 362$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…0137backed Yes | 76c | 358$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7c…a11bbacked No | 24c | 358$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb593…28eabacked Yes | 76c | 346$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked Yes | 76c | 333$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…f7eabacked Yes | 76c | 289.24$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked Yes | 76c | 236$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…84e3backed Yes | 76c | 201$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ee…d049backed Yes | 75c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccb…6c69backed Yes | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 77c | 33.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 48 | 75%36 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Sinners - Ludwig Göransson" win Best Score Soundtrack For Visual Media at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?this page
- Will "The Wild Robot - Kris Bowers" win Best Score Soundtrack For Visual Media at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.