NFL · resolved market
Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17214389488fcb9d3de8c0b4ee56c01bd92cb4242c55982f71746ac9fb576c6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 24c | 1,786$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.99 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aad…18f4backed Yes | 20c | 1,543$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.47 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…7fc8backed No | 76c | 981$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 22c | 929.3$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.57 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…6db9backed Yes | 20c | 898.81$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…9683backed Yes | 19c | 888$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 2c | 868.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee2c…f08abacked No | 76c | 810$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…c944backed Yes | 19c | 800$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 6c | 800$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…7f61backed Yes | 24c | 793$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…c888backed No | 76c | 772$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0acbbacked No | 76c | 767$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…95e1backed Yes | 24c | 746$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed Yes | 24c | 624$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…115ebacked Yes | 24c | 590$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed Yes | 24c | 577$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 19c | 555.53$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.44 | 48 | 16.7%8 W · 40 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 3c | 518$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…4127backed Yes | 2c | 514.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 77c | 400$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Yes | 21c | 400$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…6090backed No | 80c | 277.5$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 24c | 236.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…c54cbacked No | 76c | 235$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 24c | 222.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 17c | 208$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 76c | 176$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 171$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac2d…a9c4backed Yes | 26c | 158.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5f…0ecdbacked Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7b…5c8dbacked No | 73c | 138.6$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 77c | 138$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 23c | 138$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 42c | 122.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698a…3bedbacked Yes | 42c | 107.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…eb85backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…169bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 76c | 93.25$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Yes | 29c | 72.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 20c | 51.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 23c | 47.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcec…d169backed No | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c7…77b2backed No | 78c | 25.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 75c | 17.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 80c | 16.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc68b…f6eebacked No | 75c | 14.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks?this page
- Will Bill Gates buy the Seattle Seahawks?No won
- Will John Stanton buy the Seattle Seahawks?No won
- Will Larry Ellison buy the Seattle Seahawks?No won
- Will LeBron James buy the Seattle Seahawks?No won
- Will Macklemore (Benjamin Hammond Haggerty) buy the Seattle Seahawks?No won
- Will Mark Zuckerberg buy the Seattle Seahawks?No won
- Will Marshawn Lynch buy the Seattle Seahawks?No won
- Will Steve Ballmer buy the Seattle Seahawks?No won
- Will Tim Cook buy the Seattle Seahawks?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.