TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will John Stanton buy the Seattle Seahawks?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,353
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,259

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,353 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x63ac…4127backed Yes2c3,079$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7250%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes5c882$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.53310%0 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb75…f496backed Yes15c623.07$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4690%0 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes8c303.94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.35300%0 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes5c267.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.845679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes7c236.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.774816.7%8 W · 40 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-63.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0843…d4c8backed No67c207.54$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.493100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b1a…afd2backed No67c206.97$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1fb…5280backed No67c206.68$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa96…d733backed No67c206.07$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c38…a5a4backed No67c205.46$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+74.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb1…1819backed No67c205.21$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd07f…8302backed No67c205.17$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5d…0fbfbacked No67c204.67$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcefc…347dbacked No67c203.86$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.273100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x619a…ff81backed No67c203.53$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2611…521ebacked No67c203.36$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ef…0754backed No67c202.19$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.724100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a6c…a200backed No67c201.11$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…5bb4backed No67c201.08$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ff0…053cbacked No67c200.97$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x907c…dd5fbacked No67c200.6$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb98…be21backed No67c199.31$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe246…4471backed No67c199.27$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.763100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0aef…de78backed No67c199.24$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.753100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2877…cc3abacked No67c199.21$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff6f…9e3cbacked No67c199.2$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa876…ed40backed No67c199.14$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…e3e1backed No67c198.99$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20f1…3b22backed No67c198.77$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdab5…95a1backed No67c198.57$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.532100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d43…f965backed No67c198.15$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc689…51e3backed No67c198.11$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8f8…3870backed No67c198.08$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.374100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe843…a607backed No67c197.57$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.23100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf9b…1003backed No67c197.55$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.194100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6322…85a3backed No67c197.46$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec2a…ce7fbacked No67c197.39$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f58…7becbacked No67c197.34$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+74.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b09…e3d3backed No67c196.87$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b4…0b41backed No67c196.68$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb511…4224backed No67c196.26$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.773100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dd7…834dbacked No67c196.15$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd032…36e0backed No67c196.06$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3b3…0592backed No67c195.49$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e5d…cb42backed No67c195.36$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee2…9375backed No67c195.36$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85ca…76f2backed No67c195.35$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.473100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x988a…6179backed No67c195.32$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde23…6f34backed No67c195.31$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ce1…4304backed No67c195.28$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4c6…d9c3backed No67c195.17$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1324…eb09backed No67c195.11$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.394100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x48a5…b17fbacked No67c195.07$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e9…9107backed No67c195.04$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d1…553dbacked No67c195$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b43…0907backed No67c194.88$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70c8…6582backed No67c194.87$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff6c…1bc6backed No67c194.81$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a4d…7ca5backed No67c194.36$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…43fbbacked No67c194.26$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x460d…1cedbacked No67c194.19$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa286…591bbacked No67c194.15$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6267…7b54backed No67c194.12$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a65…88e5backed No67c194.06$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x426d…2962backed No67c193.88$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b3…18ebbacked No67c193.86$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a8…d917backed No67c193.83$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9999…f8c7backed No67c193.74$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x914f…e477backed No67c193.17$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cde…ced3backed No67c193.09$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.723100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f1e…009abacked No67c193.07$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x398e…1cb4backed No67c193.04$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe147…06d2backed No67c193.04$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2637…0deebacked No67c192.76$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b9f…6d55backed No67c192.75$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.613100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x453d…d110backed No67c192.63$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc5…f09fbacked No67c192.49$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce12…e22ebacked No67c192.14$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc886…0288backed No67c191.8$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x499a…febcbacked No67c191.67$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f96…5cb2backed No67c191.53$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.23100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9dc…6a9fbacked No67c191.51$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e4…afeabacked No67c191.51$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b40…60dcbacked No67c191.5$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.193100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b6…e145backed No67c191.43$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f4…8c69backed No67c191.42$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76c7…28aebacked No67c190.82$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0836…3057backed No67c190.61$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e94…21b8backed No67c190.61$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a4c…69cbbacked No67c190.27$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71a8…fea6backed No67c190.26$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15fb…72ccbacked No67c189.94$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51b…d43dbacked No67c189.79$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f1…d1f6backed No67c189.68$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb7…50b4backed No67c189.12$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2181…32b2backed No67c188.82$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae6…b2ccbacked No67c188.74$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9c…467dbacked No67c188.68$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7bf…1e0cbacked No67c188.43$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.