Token Launches · resolved market
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e52820084d4e4eee6da2117e14bd3c9ed59df48b7562c5d0419b35f7778fcf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $369,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $440,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b5d…7a01backed No | 10c | 81,685$8,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,307.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e7…7380backed No | 4c | 18,176$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…bc00backed No | 4c | 10,000$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 8,761$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 30c | 6,998$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.92 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…4563backed No | 2c | 6,504$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 20cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…54c2backed No | 4c | 6,000$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaed2…8e93backed No | 5c | 5,120$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.22 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 63c | 4,431$2,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…c359backed No | 3c | 4,000$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…5dc2backed No | 9c | 3,500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac81…c181backed Yes | 60c | 3,438$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.34 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 3,107$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.03 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf53e…2728backed Yes | 66c | 2,498$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb029…ae06backed No | 3c | 2,479$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked No | 2c | 2,400$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…42efbacked Yes | 62c | 2,164$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 17c | 1,934$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.69 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +166%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a5…d93bbacked No | 29c | 1,557$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.7 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…9cefbacked No | 32c | 1,517$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c3…da06backed No | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf0…c5c4backed No | 4c | 1,500$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb976…c213backed Yes | 62c | 1,421$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 8c | 1,341$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.87 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…b16dbacked No | 38c | 1,320$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.56 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 34c | 1,317$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.3 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Yes | 68c | 1,307$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…0176backed Yes | 68c | 1,305$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 20c | 1,223$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.87 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91d…91fdbacked No | 32c | 1,206$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 5c | 1,200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4642…3141backed No | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 25cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc703…2531backed Yes | 66c | 1,200$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa173…3315backed No | 12c | 1,189$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.17 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 2c | 1,130$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…b1b4backed Yes | 68c | 1,118$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…b300backed No | 38c | 1,074$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…e801backed No | 5c | 1,061$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…3ea7backed No | 38c | 1,004$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Yes | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9d41backed No | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…ed7fbacked No | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…6c43backed No | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad5…6f41backed No | 38c | 983$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 27cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabea…2a87backed No | 6c | 950$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed No | 38c | 945$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a6…588ebacked Yes | 73c | 900$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…f0d6backed No | 34c | 900$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d68…4f6dbacked No | 32c | 883.89$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…95e1backed Yes | 62c | 848$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…1796backed Yes | 62c | 815$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…b75ebacked Yes | 62c | 792$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 39cpaid | +314%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed Yes | 62c | 764$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…26b2backed Yes | 70c | 761.65$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…83e5backed No | 38c | 731$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 14c | 726.07$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.65 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7818…d185backed No | 21c | 721.92$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.6 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 2c | 715.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…5f14backed No | 33c | 713.48$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.34 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b65…ce09backed No | 34c | 700$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd9…78d7backed Yes | 66c | 700$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…86b7backed No | 38c | 690$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 8c | 630$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 8c | 627.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked No | 41c | 621.02$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7472…645bbacked No | 36c | 579.97$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.39 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…0523backed Yes | 64c | 575$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 38c | 573.57$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.16 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73c0…3733backed No | 29c | 567.04$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.44 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 35c | 501.54$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.54 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed No | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…2ba5backed No | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…81a5backed No | 38c | 479$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de2…d073backed No | 6c | 471.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4822…0de4backed No | 29c | 450$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4218…4814backed No | 26c | 450$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429f…42f8backed Yes | 80c | 445$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…76a2backed Yes | 70c | 429.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…e10bbacked No | 39c | 381.76$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…eb47backed Yes | 79c | 381.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…b8ebbacked Yes | 79c | 381.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…fd92backed Yes | 66c | 370.43$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.93 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…ce8cbacked No | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…770bbacked No | 30c | 365.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb256…3f94backed No | 28c | 360$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fc…23dbbacked Yes | 70c | 355.88$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed No | 7c | 352.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…35a7backed Yes | 65c | 349.1$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.15 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 5c | 346.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 8c | 346.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a32…6d07backed Yes | 68c | 326$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309c…3e93backed Yes | 68c | 321.52$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 11c | 320.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcedb…20febacked Yes | 68c | 317.63$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…0d52backed Yes | 62c | 312$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x527f…0ae5backed Yes | 69c | 305.5$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x146e…ab0bbacked No | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6471…32b0backed No | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…d35fbacked No | 32c | 299.06$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?this page
- GRVT FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes won
- GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes won
- GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes won
- GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
- GRVT FDV above $350M one day after launch?No won
- GRVT FDV above $400M one day after launch?No won
- GRVT FDV above $450M one day after launch?No won
- GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
- GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes won
- GRVT FDV above $550M one day after launch?No won
- GRVT FDV above $600M one day after launch?No won
- GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.