NBA · resolved market
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce33ad5f0fbcc1a4861cc92b81814cd174020d16df3dc80d5c287d5f047e68fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 39c | 28,292$11,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,136.53 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 60c | 23,183$13,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,956.21 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 44c | 20,819$9,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,214.06 | 605 | 49.8%301 W · 304 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f33…0d05backed No | 56c | 20,538$11,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,488.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 42c | 3,295$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 50c | 2,697$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.25 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80af…0c19backed No | 7c | 1,901$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.35 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…98e8backed Yes | 19c | 1,698$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.11 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 52c | 1,467$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.73 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…aa8ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,387$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.92 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…cacebacked Yes | 21c | 1,331$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb407…a978backed Yes | 24c | 1,277$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea90…0f8fbacked Yes | 19c | 1,226$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 34c | 1,212$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.71 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Yes | 44c | 1,187$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.06 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…3e46backed Yes | 19c | 1,111$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…c83bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,105$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.84 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…ac22backed Yes | 28c | 1,098$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed Yes | 21c | 1,098$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.13 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1832…af9ebacked No | 79c | 1,061$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.14 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 32c | 1,060$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.52 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c1…704bbacked No | 79c | 1,021$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.53 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 27c | 997.32$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.59 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…3734backed Yes | 19c | 954$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.88 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 56c | 938.88$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.71 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x506a…1b43backed Yes | 19c | 896$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.97 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e15…7ff5backed Yes | 19c | 883$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.58 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…49f3backed Yes | 19c | 856$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…ebedbacked Yes | 19c | 836$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.65 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed Yes | 15c | 738$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.77 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…f5bebacked No | 77c | 725$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.46 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0956…9aa4backed Yes | 19c | 678$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…0ab2backed No | 72c | 672$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed Yes | 21c | 670$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.29 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +117%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…c454backed Yes | 38c | 666$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…ed44backed No | 79c | 625$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.5 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaf…4bd2backed Yes | 19c | 608$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 59c | 585.71$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.68 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked No | 49c | 577.84$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.43 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1220…741abacked Yes | 19c | 574$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.79 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8697…4165backed Yes | 19c | 534$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.47 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 64c | 531.4$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.27 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked Yes | 17c | 502$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed No | 24c | 490.17$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.54 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 54c | 469.7$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.59 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd137…ceacbacked No | 73c | 460$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 4c | 459.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…67fbbacked Yes | 19c | 454$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.83 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…d8e3backed Yes | 19c | 452$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.76 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…b332backed Yes | 21c | 450$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x668b…3884backed Yes | 21c | 442$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 8c | 432.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed Yes | 17c | 427$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.13 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed Yes | 16c | 425$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.58 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…09adbacked Yes | 21c | 422$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.54 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bb…e885backed No | 79c | 415$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.61 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 37c | 412$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.92 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73df…ba67backed Yes | 19c | 406$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked Yes | 16c | 404$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.74 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82c…dd71backed Yes | 50c | 400.49$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.09 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…6853backed Yes | 17c | 386$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.54 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9151backed No | 79c | 382$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.02 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 40c | 374.51$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.05 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked Yes | 19c | 372$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.58 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ae…e13abacked Yes | 19c | 368$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…e29abacked No | 73c | 365$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.63 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed No | 62c | 362$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.53 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 50c | 356.04$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.13 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 4c | 350.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -9.1wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ce…3c8ebacked No | 79c | 344$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c07…956bbacked No | 79c | 339$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed Yes | 21c | 339$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.13 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed Yes | 28c | 338.72$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.57 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 54c | 320.2$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.74 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 319.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d7aabacked Yes | 18c | 318$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.35 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…6f9fbacked No | 79c | 316$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.01 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 34c | 310.73$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.01 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…6d90backed Yes | 16c | 309$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.32 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…5eafbacked No | 62c | 304$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.39 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 17c | 299$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.07 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…f5cebacked Yes | 19c | 298$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.19 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…18c6backed Yes | 58c | 297.61$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…ba85backed Yes | 19c | 296$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.17 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…0959backed Yes | 19c | 296$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 52c | 258.09$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.81 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…3eaabacked Yes | 17c | 252$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 54c | 234.23$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.88 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked No | 73c | 217$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.33 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed Yes | 17c | 214$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.41 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 66c | 213.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 73c | 208.09$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.68 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 23c | 206$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8213…8c05backed Yes | 52c | 201.85$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.85 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -76%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 44c | 200$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.01 | 427 | 44.5%190 W · 237 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…af26backed Yes | 19c | 199$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.39 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…95e1backed Yes | 19c | 198$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed Yes | 17c | 175$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47d…907bbacked Yes | 17c | 173$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.59 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?this page
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.