Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18d1268816b733248d3137257c7ee20f43a758f01529c7c002906ad687370fa1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb436…bb3cbacked Yes | 79c | 7,024$5,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.88 | 41 | 82.9%34 W · 7 L | +10.5wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +42%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed No | 22c | 4,793$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.77 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…1f4bbacked No | 3c | 2,900$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed No | 12c | 1,971$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +154.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 8c | 1,641$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.54 | 122 | 7.4%9 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +246.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 14c | 1,142$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 12cpaid | +78%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…a4f5backed No | 30c | 922.04$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 19c | 842$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb4…fe12backed No | 69c | 810.33$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed Yes | 26c | 701$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…7fc8backed Yes | 27c | 636$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +219.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…c0f2backed No | 43c | 620$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.4 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -6.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 61c | 571.47$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.23 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55bf…9ee3backed No | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe27…9623backed No | 74c | 475$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…81a5backed No | 74c | 459$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +130.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…395ebacked No | 73c | 403$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed No | 57c | 400$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 29c | 399.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.99 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…9a60backed No | 72c | 357$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Yes | 28c | 357$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…50f8backed No | 74c | 352$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed Yes | 26c | 352$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09a9…aa84backed No | 72c | 345.49$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 24c | 307.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…450fbacked Yes | 75c | 289.78$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.88 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66f1…2dd9backed No | 71c | 282.56$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 66c | 248.41$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.73 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…3137backed No | 33c | 242.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…00acbacked No | 73c | 236$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked Yes | 27c | 236$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…e46bbacked No | 73c | 233$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed No | 18c | 217.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…3d65backed Yes | 35c | 217.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.12 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 25c | 213$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.48 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 28c | 206.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed No | 26c | 204.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…79d0backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…0ab2backed Yes | 27c | 186.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 33c | 166.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4974backed No | 70c | 158$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…f00ebacked Yes | 30c | 158$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d9…f359backed Yes | 34c | 156.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +168.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0196…d9f9backed No | 66c | 150.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 22c | 149.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.99 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…097cbacked No | 75c | 140$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed Yes | 26c | 126$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…aaf1backed Yes | 69c | 125$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked Yes | 26c | 118.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.64 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed Yes | 65c | 117.23$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 9c | 112.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 57 | 10.5%6 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…75e7backed Yes | 26c | 107$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd444…aba5backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x214c…6378backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -13.0wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2c71…a36dbacked Yes | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.38per pick | 35cpaid | +271.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 57c | 99.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 71c | 98.63$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…e6b5backed No | 30c | 98.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 67c | 91.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed Yes | 26c | 90$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked No | 74c | 90$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…19f5backed Yes | 31c | 89.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 44c | 85.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 18c | 84.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.04 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x738f…ba83backed No | 65c | 82.87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed No | 63c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2559…2ef4backed Yes | 30c | 79.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 36cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 73c | 74.81$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6b…13c6backed No | 27c | 74.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42f…be79backed Yes | 76c | 71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…e164backed No | 37c | 70.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…84c5backed Yes | 26c | 67.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a7…f3c0backed No | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 21c | 63.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7ba9backed No | 37c | 53.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdb…2fb8backed Yes | 40c | 51.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf8…2488backed No | 34c | 51.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 31c | 50.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -9.8wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 31c | 50.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 336 | 18.5%62 W · 274 L | -46.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 74c | 49.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…4c19backed Yes | 26c | 46.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 36cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee58…996cbacked No | 79c | 40.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…4b76backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…abe1backed No | 68c | 39.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1784…7a77backed No | 69c | 39.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x658f…8aa2backed No | 72c | 36.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba54…409fbacked Yes | 67c | 35.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9956…1d76backed No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…b9a0backed Yes | 42c | 30.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7954…2b02backed No | 43c | 27.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 60c | 27.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…da43backed No | 74c | 25.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4268…f175backed No | 75c | 25.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc379…b246backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Yes | 65c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?this page
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 10?No won
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?Yes won
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.