Token Launches · resolved market
Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $300k in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d644bfeedc722b45d7a7c785d8efc0d9a75e8bba85dd689755131eaafab3888
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5113…e446backed No | 71c | 8,128$5,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…4aaabacked Yes | 33c | 6,781$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3f…feebbacked No | 52c | 2,592$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked Yes | 49c | 2,286$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.29 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ef…18e2backed Yes | 47c | 2,123$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 76c | 1,962$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.76 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,792$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 28c | 1,620$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.97 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 5c | 1,400$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.32per pick | 12cpaid | +985.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked No | 78c | 1,277$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 32c | 986.6$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6038…413ebacked No | 52c | 928.43$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…06f1backed Yes | 39c | 910.54$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.1 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 871$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 53c | 750.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.72 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf878…1195backed Yes | 7c | 730.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc146…327dbacked Yes | 49c | 721.2$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes | 47c | 650$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No | 73c | 565.86$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 18c | 524$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…5c80backed Yes | 7c | 507$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…5839backed No | 48c | 501.65$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…fcdfbacked Yes | 21c | 485.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 484.16$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.83 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…5a5ebacked Yes | 25c | 462$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…d819backed Yes | 35c | 457.82$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.28 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa136…2965backed Yes | 20c | 443.65$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.73 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -86%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…b5f6backed Yes | 29c | 431.04$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 29c | 404.21$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.74 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe122…33febacked Yes | 25c | 392.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked Yes | 6c | 387$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c0…3733backed Yes | 26c | 380.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e27…c6bebacked No | 67c | 373.49$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…6a40backed Yes | 6c | 334.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b98…4b7cbacked Yes | 30c | 329.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 8c | 315.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 110 | 7.3%8 W · 102 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3a…ca4cbacked Yes | 6c | 315$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 38c | 305.97$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.63 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 46c | 299.22$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.84 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +11.3wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…512bbacked Yes | 37c | 266.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a99…336bbacked Yes | 19c | 262.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…77d6backed Yes | 35c | 260.86$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.08 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 248.66$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ff…986cbacked Yes | 7c | 245$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b08…38bbbacked Yes | 8c | 242$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed Yes | 6c | 230$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 6c | 212.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6427…e4f5backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed Yes | 5c | 208$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…7865backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea76…944abacked Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d45…9a7dbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…e68dbacked Yes | 10c | 199$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…f00ebacked Yes | 6c | 197$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…0230backed No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 76c | 186.68$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed Yes | 42c | 185.52$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 32c | 178.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 45c | 165.01$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…69d2backed Yes | 7c | 151$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed No | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc895…9bfabacked Yes | 11c | 149$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed Yes | 34c | 143.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf149…21b9backed Yes | 18c | 140.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3b…3ad8backed No | 39c | 139$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +154.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…2493backed No | 37c | 130.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +173.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 32c | 110.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 204 | 22.1%45 W · 159 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f87…1ff2backed Yes | 45c | 104.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe62c…e612backed Yes | 32c | 103.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf626…f9f0backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -54%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…e8c5backed Yes | 51c | 96.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec32…e87fbacked Yes | 54c | 91.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 70c | 90.41$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed Yes | 54c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 57c | 87.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked No | 70c | 86.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4958…d14ebacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…efa3backed Yes | 36c | 83.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…9f04backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef8…fae5backed Yes | 40c | 74.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 38c | 71.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed No | 40c | 69.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…dbb2backed Yes | 63c | 68.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed No | 77c | 64.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…a517backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked Yes | 24c | 60.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 26c | 51.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -15.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…e0e1backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…8b95backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a69…f64abacked Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 27c | 45.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d3…3a54backed No | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x599a…c212backed Yes | 24c | 44.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8635…16d1backed No | 37c | 42.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +166.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d27…4f3cbacked Yes | 48c | 41.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Yes | 56c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7f…a00cbacked Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…ab20backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.