Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Mills flip Platner for Maine Dem Senate Primary Winner by January 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf09dbef1c6e969dd4e3bac4f2b0ad8fe74fe2256dc2e342569184f8f8491f93a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7407…19bebacked Yes | 19c | 1,416$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.04 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed No | 76c | 1,248$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91d…91fdbacked Yes | 31c | 1,042$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…9bc5backed No | 79c | 987$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2145…1e5dbacked No | 69c | 937$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked No | 74c | 912$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b92…f4c6backed Yes | 25c | 893$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Yes | 24c | 828$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.05 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f0…f05fbacked Yes | 26c | 817$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes | 23c | 791$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.84 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5884…3191backed No | 69c | 777$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed No | 79c | 743$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.03 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed No | 74c | 726$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…2d93backed No | 75c | 720$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed No | 77c | 699$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.77 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…6f9fbacked No | 74c | 681$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bb…e885backed No | 77c | 675$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed Yes | 26c | 671$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked Yes | 31c | 630$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.54 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes | 23c | 627$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…f5bebacked Yes | 23c | 609$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319c…4a94backed No | 69c | 602$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +180.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…8085backed Yes | 25c | 601$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked Yes | 24c | 570$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…200fbacked No | 70c | 533$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…b842backed Yes | 21c | 528$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…e59abacked Yes | 23c | 512$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb73e…975ebacked No | 69c | 486$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…ac22backed Yes | 20c | 481$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…b332backed Yes | 26c | 474$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa355…a3a2backed No | 74c | 472$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…46cebacked Yes | 31c | 466$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed Yes | 30c | 454$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 4c | 443.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 104 | 1%1 W · 103 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…f15fbacked No | 77c | 422$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…827bbacked No | 69c | 421$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8132…a491backed No | 80c | 420$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…cd52backed Yes | 31c | 408$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…24efbacked Yes | 31c | 404$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked Yes | 21c | 385$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd008…e9dbbacked Yes | 30c | 385$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…7406backed No | 77c | 382.66$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…52f9backed Yes | 31c | 363$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…c2dfbacked No | 69c | 361$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed Yes | 26c | 353$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…b7d3backed No | 69c | 350$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…6741backed Yes | 31c | 342$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…9ef2backed Yes | 31c | 320$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked Yes | 19c | 296$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked No | 76c | 291$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47d…907bbacked Yes | 26c | 290$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…d9c1backed Yes | 12c | 285$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…7260backed Yes | 30c | 279$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 77c | 275$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…8f4bbacked Yes | 35c | 249$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…b750backed Yes | 35c | 239$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed No | 70c | 238$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 8c | 232.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…f00ebacked No | 65c | 222$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed Yes | 21c | 215$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…7693backed Yes | 31c | 203$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9322…01e3backed Yes | 23c | 199$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa400…ec34backed No | 65c | 197$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 10c | 195$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9a…cc24backed Yes | 35c | 189$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…88adbacked Yes | 35c | 186$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bc…2ad5backed No | 69c | 184$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2f…a8aabacked No | 65c | 182$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1587…901abacked No | 70c | 178$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…76d5backed Yes | 12c | 178$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…e858backed Yes | 26c | 177$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +84%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…35bebacked No | 69c | 174$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…96e8backed No | 75c | 173$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed Yes | 35c | 170$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd1…2bb3backed Yes | 31c | 170$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…b461backed Yes | 12c | 169$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9464…b4cbbacked No | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e72…7de5backed No | 80c | 160$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed Yes | 35c | 154$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc895…9bfabacked Yes | 30c | 152$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…3888backed Yes | 30c | 149$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…98e8backed Yes | 30c | 148$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…891fbacked No | 65c | 145$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked No | 74c | 125$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…58ccbacked Yes | 23c | 125$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b71…f1d9backed No | 70c | 123$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…bcf0backed Yes | 35c | 122$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +194.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b2…4677backed Yes | 37c | 115.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54af…415ebacked No | 69c | 114$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed Yes | 19c | 113$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed No | 77c | 110$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4657…00d6backed Yes | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed No | 80c | 101$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…75e7backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fde…cbbebacked Yes | 17c | 98.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59f3…a7fabacked No | 65c | 95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…ed44backed No | 70c | 91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…e29abacked No | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.