NHL · resolved market
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fa908777d31b9b31f311560d879231b8853f7f728278acb3ccc82bf3a52b5d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $269,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $266,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc18f…a368backed Yes | 43c | 39,069$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,799.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…7de0backed Yes | 43c | 38,940$16,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,744.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa545…b1afbacked No | 57c | 29,302$16,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,599.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6d…261bbacked No | 57c | 27,352$15,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,761.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x267b…5941backed No | 57c | 21,349$12,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,180.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 52c | 8,516$4,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,106.57 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 49c | 4,501$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.36 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77b…24abbacked Yes | 64c | 3,503$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 44c | 2,502$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.09 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Yes | 42c | 2,258$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 42c | 1,693$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 55c | 1,581$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.88 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 19c | 1,295$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.63 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Yes | 51c | 1,256$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.42 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…a82fbacked Yes | 45c | 1,233$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.54 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…c3f5backed No | 13c | 1,156$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 70c | 1,108$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.86 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53de…b486backed Yes | 56c | 1,030$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed Yes | 59c | 1,027$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…fdf4backed Yes | 56c | 1,025$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…0b1ebacked No | 41c | 1,001$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 940.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 62c | 938$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.56 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…00acbacked No | 41c | 906$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked Yes | 58c | 833$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a79…1ccbbacked No | 43c | 824$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…af26backed No | 32c | 815$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 46c | 773.44$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.29 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6a…53e0backed No | 44c | 761$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…7babbacked Yes | 59c | 753$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…89d8backed Yes | 68c | 741$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…95c9backed No | 44c | 735$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…96e8backed No | 44c | 708$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x322a…3274backed Yes | 56c | 708$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed No | 36c | 701$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…0217backed No | 41c | 689$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed No | 32c | 667$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 39cpaid | +167.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 38c | 662.65$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.49 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 9c | 650.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.99 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4e…6533backed Yes | 59c | 649$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed No | 37c | 634$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.42 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…c93dbacked Yes | 57c | 633$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9d41backed No | 37c | 620$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked Yes | 64c | 601$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…eadcbacked Yes | 66c | 599$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…6bdebacked No | 44c | 573$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked No | 32c | 563$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 41c | 551.6$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.36 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8f…8cc2backed No | 41c | 539.91$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.83 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8132…a491backed Yes | 63c | 536$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…1bb5backed No | 44c | 514$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Yes | 10c | 501.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…2525backed Yes | 22c | 501.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfec…09a7backed No | 44c | 501$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd091…e046backed Yes | 56c | 499$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed No | 49c | 498$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed Yes | 56c | 494$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 51c | 489.83$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.9 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 42c | 481.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.94 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1220…741abacked No | 32c | 465$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cae…c0eebacked No | 41c | 458$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bb…e885backed Yes | 57c | 457$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4657…00d6backed Yes | 56c | 454$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…115cbacked Yes | 57c | 441$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9774…6d3cbacked No | 32c | 439$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…829dbacked No | 43c | 438$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…703cbacked Yes | 68c | 437$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcc…e74cbacked Yes | 45c | 434.37$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.38 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…f199backed Yes | 68c | 434$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…cb02backed No | 43c | 426$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b71…f1d9backed No | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked No | 33c | 389.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.69 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea25…d3aabacked No | 43c | 386$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Yes | 60c | 381.86$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.63 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0956…9aa4backed Yes | 68c | 381$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Yes | 48c | 376.31$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.45 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…7849backed No | 49c | 375.51$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0680…db1bbacked No | 55c | 363.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked Yes | 68c | 352$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed Yes | 63c | 342$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b63…52cfbacked Yes | 51c | 334$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…e46bbacked No | 43c | 332$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 28cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed No | 31c | 320$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.6 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 48c | 319.24$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.66 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…0e2bbacked No | 37c | 317$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…f00ebacked Yes | 68c | 316$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…47b0backed Yes | 39c | 305$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked Yes | 47c | 297.28$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.77 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked No | 44c | 284$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…49f3backed Yes | 64c | 278$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked No | 13c | 257.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.31 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 42c | 245.72$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…5eafbacked Yes | 56c | 241$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed Yes | 64c | 240$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Yes | 57c | 238$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 35c | 225$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa81d…7447backed Yes | 45c | 221.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb407…a978backed No | 37c | 219$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked Yes | 64c | 214$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee4e…aa5abacked No | 36c | 214$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?this page
- Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?Yes won
- Will the Detroit Red Wings win the Atlantic Division?No won
- Will the Florida Panthers win the Atlantic Division?No won
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division?No won
- Will the Ottawa Senators win the Atlantic Division?No won
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the Atlantic Division?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.