NHL · resolved market
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37bf39fd0a592322aeddcd477aadf8912609afc3e07976692cb8a472185d1582
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5007…eddabacked Yes | 40c | 2,130$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 34c | 1,637$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.54 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 23c | 1,491$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.94 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 42c | 1,277$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.4 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 77c | 1,254$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.79 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 56c | 1,242$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.47 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Yes | 18c | 1,218$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.59 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7a36backed Yes | 39c | 893.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.07 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 27c | 857$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.26 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…2539backed Yes | 18c | 846.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.25 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 3c | 800$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Yes | 32c | 648.79$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.07 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 34c | 512.3$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.99 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes | 12c | 505.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.53 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77b…24abbacked Yes | 64c | 465.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.93 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 43c | 463.28$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.33 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d33…3d8cbacked Yes | 45c | 445.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.86 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 45c | 390.18$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.55 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 20c | 381.04$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed No | 56c | 361.67$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb772…7b07backed Yes | 23c | 329.49$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +326.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Yes | 46c | 325$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.85 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd058…0613backed Yes | 17c | 289.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.21 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 50c | 261.76$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.88 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 49c | 251$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.9 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Yes | 41c | 228.88$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.64 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 215.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.12 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcc…e74cbacked No | 54c | 202.59$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7e…1a39backed Yes | 20c | 198.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.2 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 67c | 196.97$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.11 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 35c | 169.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +187.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…d25fbacked Yes | 33c | 159.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 57c | 150.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72de…920fbacked Yes | 46c | 146.46$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed No | 31c | 144$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 27cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 56c | 140$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 17c | 137.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.45 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 58c | 130.73$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 50c | 130.55$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 65c | 127.14$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 78c | 123.2$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.71 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x597a…5df0backed Yes | 14c | 114.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.94 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78f…218ebacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1560…1279backed Yes | 24c | 99.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +215.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…2876backed Yes | 72c | 99.01$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 26c | 98.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.14 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 42c | 82.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…9d38backed Yes | 32c | 78.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…4167backed Yes | 48c | 72.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Yes | 71c | 70.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3a…1df9backed Yes | 32c | 68.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…9a74backed Yes | 72c | 66.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0603…8f62backed No | 35c | 65.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 70c | 64.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 69c | 58.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b9…3dd7backed No | 31c | 57.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…4e18backed Yes | 51c | 56.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed No | 74c | 55.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 137 | 49.6%68 W · 69 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe554…ee0ebacked Yes | 26c | 53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 77c | 45.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…e0f3backed Yes | 35c | 43.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d25…0867backed Yes | 69c | 41.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 57c | 37.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…340bbacked Yes | 36c | 37.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 64c | 36.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 29c | 34.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…68a1backed Yes | 42c | 32.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 39cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 63c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9f…36e1backed Yes | 48c | 22.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?this page
- Will the Detroit Red Wings win the Atlantic Division?No won
- Will the Florida Panthers win the Atlantic Division?No won
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division?No won
- Will the Ottawa Senators win the Atlantic Division?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?No won
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the Atlantic Division?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.