NHL · resolved market
Will the Florida Panthers win the Atlantic Division?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff2bc84c860418156db85e56b0bf6ce28cbce88b9f3ec9623c3c3dc033c744f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $190,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,635 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4f8…3bb4backed Yes | 11c | 19,332$2,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3126…4ff7backed Yes | 12c | 18,960$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…33eebacked Yes | 12c | 16,638$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…a961backed Yes | 14c | 5,391$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x342d…f660backed Yes | 14c | 3,230$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c24…9817backed Yes | 14c | 3,010$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…811fbacked Yes | 14c | 2,901$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea8…43dabacked Yes | 15c | 2,800$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0384…90c2backed Yes | 14c | 2,720$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4feb…446bbacked Yes | 14c | 2,701$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…d78abacked Yes | 2c | 2,670$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e2…450fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,149$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7e…2d7dbacked Yes | 14c | 2,120$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3717…37fbbacked Yes | 14c | 1,980$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…d3c0backed Yes | 2c | 1,832$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x990f…8490backed Yes | 2c | 1,649$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x316b…b586backed Yes | 14c | 1,430$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07f…f419backed Yes | 14c | 1,380$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…175bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,290$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…6ab4backed Yes | 1c | 1,191$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b4…0979backed Yes | 15c | 1,160$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788c…06f6backed Yes | 3c | 995$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85c…faa4backed Yes | 3c | 889$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11bd…d461backed Yes | 14c | 829.98$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59cc…d042backed Yes | 3c | 827$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…2124backed Yes | 2c | 822$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62e…99cfbacked Yes | 2c | 818$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked Yes | 8c | 783.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e7…1552backed Yes | 2c | 764$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 20c | 495.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…c666backed Yes | 14c | 480.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 397.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 11c | 384.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 11c | 374.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 20c | 371$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.81 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 12c | 320.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 15c | 253.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14bc…aa14backed Yes | 48c | 210.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 15c | 179.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 41c | 122.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.35 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 15c | 118.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…07b0backed Yes | 13c | 110.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2543…8aaabacked Yes | 15c | 109.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff0…d3dcbacked Yes | 12c | 108.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85eb…986dbacked Yes | 16c | 77.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…9231backed Yes | 18c | 76.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…3681backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Florida Panthers win the Atlantic Division?this page
- Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?Yes won
- Will the Detroit Red Wings win the Atlantic Division?No won
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division?No won
- Will the Ottawa Senators win the Atlantic Division?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?No won
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the Atlantic Division?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.