NHL · resolved market
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the Atlantic Division?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fe1ed7a92b3afeaca3e65906d79d2177357a269eb5414e7176276073f14d93f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $293,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $368,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $293,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x124f…9709backed Yes | 1c | 10,700$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…f6b9backed Yes | 3c | 3,578$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…3d92backed Yes | 4c | 3,251$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507b…6a22backed Yes | 4c | 3,089$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…cf78backed Yes | 2c | 2,998$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe155…3057backed Yes | 3c | 2,861$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f43…9301backed Yes | 3c | 2,725$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ba…ade9backed Yes | 5c | 2,523$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcab…2392backed Yes | 3c | 2,450$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7317…bc6bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,432$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d5…7c73backed Yes | 3c | 1,909$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 1c | 1,789$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +129.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986a…61d0backed Yes | 4c | 1,758$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…6feabacked Yes | 1c | 1,726$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5c…bb8cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,692$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaae…d224backed Yes | 2c | 1,691$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd90f…f5ecbacked Yes | 1c | 1,638$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0a…ef4fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,631$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6892…3337backed Yes | 3c | 1,543$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e5…5b32backed Yes | 4c | 1,524$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c11…7605backed Yes | 3c | 1,400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ec…941bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,370$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d64…5052backed Yes | 3c | 1,242$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f44…382dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,232$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba6b…c8c0backed Yes | 4c | 1,123$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa68a…0487backed Yes | 5c | 1,050$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4621…247abacked Yes | 2c | 1,040$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…67dcbacked Yes | 3c | 997$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes | 2c | 988.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb23a…0e28backed Yes | 3c | 962$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…6178backed Yes | 3c | 847$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeda…a9cabacked Yes | 4c | 820$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58a6…20f9backed Yes | 5c | 815$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Yes | 4c | 800$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…4c4abacked Yes | 5c | 788$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 701.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f0…8e96backed Yes | 4c | 677$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b0…3ffcbacked Yes | 4c | 638$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…aa9dbacked Yes | 3c | 619$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62bf…9997backed Yes | 3c | 588$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…c19abacked Yes | 3c | 566$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ad…2e58backed Yes | 4c | 550$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d7…a1d9backed Yes | 4c | 510$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0a…8911backed Yes | 4c | 501$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…f681backed Yes | 4c | 465$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a9…b00bbacked Yes | 3c | 396$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…b71abacked Yes | 3c | 342$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…6771backed Yes | 6c | 338.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 5c | 310.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0abc…a153backed Yes | 3c | 306$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7a36backed Yes | 4c | 280$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 6c | 243.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…2b47backed Yes | 9c | 232.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 6c | 221.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 5c | 186$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Detroit Red Wings win the Atlantic Division?this page
- Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?Yes won
- Will the Florida Panthers win the Atlantic Division?No won
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division?No won
- Will the Ottawa Senators win the Atlantic Division?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?No won
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the Atlantic Division?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.