Movies · resolved market
Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7603dcc04b73aae568537f58ec67e398f13adabfc7e12650abbf762323570aaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 8c | 2,627$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.4 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…f745backed No | 26c | 1,952$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked No | 22c | 1,809$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.63 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes | 74c | 1,565$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.8 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked Yes | 74c | 1,015$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.9 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…bab6backed No | 25c | 915$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.1 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked Yes | 78c | 913$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.86 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…c0edbacked No | 26c | 893$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.18 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b2…567cbacked Yes | 76c | 845$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c22…50e1backed Yes | 74c | 842$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed No | 25c | 816$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.41 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed No | 27c | 766$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.82 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…bb1dbacked No | 26c | 756$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.56 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…c6fbbacked No | 26c | 755$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.3 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…ebc2backed Yes | 74c | 753$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…f5bebacked Yes | 76c | 734$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.16 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…54a7backed Yes | 73c | 732$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.64 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Yes | 79c | 726.71$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.76 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…c285backed Yes | 74c | 717$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.42 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19a…5b88backed Yes | 78c | 686$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.22 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadc9…5856backed No | 23c | 678$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.32 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…3e96backed Yes | 78c | 675$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…3421backed Yes | 76c | 660$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…d4f7backed Yes | 74c | 657$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.82 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked Yes | 74c | 651$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.26 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…09dcbacked Yes | 78c | 646$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.12 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 25c | 642.75$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.85 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed No | 27c | 612$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.24 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…7693backed Yes | 74c | 601$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.26 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed No | 17c | 594.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 4.1%3 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…55e4backed Yes | 78c | 592$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.24 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c07…956bbacked No | 24c | 584$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed No | 26c | 577$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.02 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked No | 26c | 574$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.24 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 76c | 567.58$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.22 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…6bdebacked Yes | 76c | 552$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.48 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…d166backed No | 26c | 540$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 75c | 535$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.89 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed No | 22c | 530$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4653…65c5backed Yes | 73c | 515$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…5f57backed No | 26c | 503$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.35 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…395ebacked No | 22c | 495$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…9f12backed No | 22c | 489$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.58 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…f151backed Yes | 73c | 483.18$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.18 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47d…907bbacked No | 24c | 482$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 20c | 474.39$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…1146backed No | 26c | 472$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.72 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…4c23backed Yes | 76c | 458$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.92 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x809a…f315backed Yes | 76c | 449$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.62 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…be7cbacked Yes | 74c | 446$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.96 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed Yes | 73c | 444$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.88 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…2550backed No | 24c | 424$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc40a…1f50backed Yes | 74c | 418$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…c705backed No | 24c | 410$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Yes | 76c | 408$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…7c01backed No | 27c | 396$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.92 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6278…3a93backed No | 26c | 395$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…5709backed Yes | 76c | 390$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…96e8backed No | 27c | 375$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed No | 25c | 368$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.37 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed No | 22c | 361$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.42 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked Yes | 76c | 360$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked Yes | 76c | 355$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked No | 24c | 355$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…f00ebacked Yes | 73c | 347$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…a617backed Yes | 74c | 346$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed No | 24c | 342$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a79…1ccbbacked Yes | 74c | 337$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed Yes | 73c | 333$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…89d8backed No | 27c | 333$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…7a65backed No | 26c | 317$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…e98bbacked No | 27c | 317$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.59 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 26c | 316.52$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…af26backed Yes | 74c | 310$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…ca53backed Yes | 73c | 306$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a7…9c79backed No | 27c | 306$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…f8a1backed No | 22c | 305$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…7a33backed Yes | 76c | 299$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1d…a1e3backed Yes | 77c | 288.94$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…dc10backed No | 22c | 288$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…c913backed No | 24c | 283$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…cb02backed Yes | 76c | 283$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.92 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…d40bbacked Yes | 73c | 281$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.87 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…7501backed No | 26c | 280$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…7154backed Yes | 73c | 265$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…ebedbacked No | 22c | 251$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked Yes | 78c | 251$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…6b99backed No | 27c | 246$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed No | 24c | 238$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 24c | 237.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed No | 27c | 227$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…e7d3backed Yes | 73c | 227$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed No | 22c | 225$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed Yes | 76c | 224$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Yes | 20c | 222.56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.27 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 13cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…9767backed Yes | 73c | 219$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea7…81c3backed No | 29c | 219$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…77dbbacked No | 23c | 213$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…e0a4backed No | 24c | 211$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed Yes | 76c | 211$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?this page
- Will Andor win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Pluribus win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Severance win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Slow Horses win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will The Last of Us win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will The White Lotus win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.