TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Movies · resolved market

Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,638
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,593

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,638 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Movies
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde04…fa37backed No8c2,627$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.429926.4%79 W · 220 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf7f…f745backed No26c1,952$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5141250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2604…13ccbacked No22c1,809$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.633452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes74c1,565$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.84334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8737…2bffbacked Yes74c1,015$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.93141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x45ff…bab6backed No25c915$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.11942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x636a…09aabacked Yes78c913$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.862055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02a5…c0edbacked No26c893$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.182450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03b2…567cbacked Yes76c845$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.83056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c22…50e1backed Yes74c842$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.92933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-50.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71d2…e109backed No25c816$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.413253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ea1…6487backed No27c766$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.824025%10 W · 30 L-6.1wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xca36…bb1dbacked No26c756$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.561435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe17a…c6fbbacked No26c755$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.31741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db2…ebc2backed Yes74c753$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.781346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+42.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b0…f5bebacked Yes76c734$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.162161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x43d7…54a7backed Yes73c732$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.641942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf629…bda0backed Yes79c726.71$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.762231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-50.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1897…c285backed Yes74c717$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.421353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd19a…5b88backed Yes78c686$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.221625%4 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadc9…5856backed No23c678$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.322152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa05d…3e96backed Yes78c675$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.53151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8151…3421backed Yes76c660$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.43063.3%19 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x29a9…d4f7backed Yes74c657$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.821650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d05…305bbacked Yes74c651$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.263748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24e4…09dcbacked Yes78c646$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.122958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No25c642.75$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.853221.9%7 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-50.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd719…d8e5backed No27c612$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.242941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa18…7693backed Yes74c601$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.262360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed No17c594.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100744.1%3 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-84.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x169a…55e4backed Yes78c592$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.242536%9 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c07…956bbacked No24c584$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.161030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-54.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b74…93f7backed No26c577$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.022937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaefa…f98ebacked No26c574$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.242231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6291…cc47backed Yes76c567.58$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2228528.8%82 W · 203 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64c9…6bdebacked Yes76c552$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.482729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-50.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe918…d166backed No26c540$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.43063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked Yes75c535$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.8924634.6%85 W · 161 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb338…1ff0backed No22c530$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.63240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4653…65c5backed Yes73c515$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.051136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b9…5f57backed No26c503$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.352339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02f7…395ebacked No22c495$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.91118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-70.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10d8…9f12backed No22c489$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.582638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd44…f151backed Yes73c483.18$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.187839.7%31 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe47d…907bbacked No24c482$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.681145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked No20c474.39$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3813130.5%40 W · 91 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6891…1146backed No26c472$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.721931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86c5…4c23backed Yes76c458$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.921942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x809a…f315backed Yes76c449$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.623145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d4…be7cbacked Yes74c446$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.962236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf955…bb33backed Yes73c444$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.882326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ea7…2550backed No24c424$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.761421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-56%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc40a…1f50backed Yes74c418$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.681729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-46.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x91ba…c705backed No24c410$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.41540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf085…a01fbacked Yes76c408$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.921643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2e…7c01backed No27c396$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.922030%6 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6278…3a93backed No26c395$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfda…5709backed Yes76c390$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.62334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2247…96e8backed No27c375$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.252236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x466e…ed99backed No25c368$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.373138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad90…9090backed No22c361$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.425750.9%29 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+50.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0241…162abacked Yes76c360$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.42445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xed45…929dbacked Yes76c355$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.23745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39be…5e7bbacked No24c355$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.22138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3214…f00ebacked Yes73c347$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.692965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+26.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf58d…a617backed Yes74c346$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.962055%11 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcb1…c4e8backed No24c342$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.082944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a79…1ccbbacked Yes74c337$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.62933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-50.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc336…9f48backed Yes73c333$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.913148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d91…89d8backed No27c333$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.911330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x750b…7a65backed No26c317$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.421457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bcd…e98bbacked No27c317$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.592737%10 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No26c316.52$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832420.8%5 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-48.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d0f…af26backed Yes74c310$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.61533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-52.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x63c2…ca53backed Yes73c306$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.622142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6a7…9c79backed No27c306$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…f8a1backed No22c305$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.12540%10 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+37.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17be…7a33backed Yes76c299$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.081921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-68.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4b1d…a1e3backed Yes77c288.94$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.671442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-30.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04da…dc10backed No22c288$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.361723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-63.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe54d…c913backed No24c283$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.92837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6951…cb02backed Yes76c283$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.921952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcc1…d40bbacked Yes73c281$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.871947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6159…7501backed No26c280$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.82227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a94…7154backed Yes73c265$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.552343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd2b…ebedbacked No22c251$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.221010%1 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick34cpaid-85.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1dd8…757abacked Yes78c251$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.222466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb88…6b99backed No27c246$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.423327.3%9 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9ab…d0a0backed No24c238$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.122540%10 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No24c237.19$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810244.1%45 W · 57 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e36…2479backed No27c227$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.293234.4%11 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a10…e7d3backed Yes73c227$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x991a…2411backed No22c225$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.451010%1 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-78.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1bf…a751backed Yes76c224$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.762152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d55…7cbabacked Yes20c222.56$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.272524%6 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick13cpaid+127.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa71…9767backed Yes73c219$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.132045%9 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea7…81c3backed No29c219$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb85b…77dbbacked No23c213$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.953036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab88…e0a4backed No24c211$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.643938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76f8…5145backed Yes76c211$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.643743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.