TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 3?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,909
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,510

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,909 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7669…d773backed Yes18c5,581$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.6650%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33a…91f2backed Yes18c5,556$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c23…0266backed Yes15c1,635$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.4180%0 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1e4…a595backed Yes16c1,529$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.650%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc03…804cbacked Yes15c1,444$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.6812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-83.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb61…2c0ebacked Yes17c1,208$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde24…25a8backed Yes18c1,200$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.77244.2%1 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick15cpaid-86.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c0f…7b84backed Yes14c1,098$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.66450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+133.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes16c999.98$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes17c949.76$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.4660%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes13c758.7$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.94740.4%19 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+137.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes16c599.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0d0…a82cbacked Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d7…5fb9backed Yes18c562.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+108%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-55.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes12c499.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-49.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6244…4c52backed Yes17c483.18$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Yes16c418$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.731225%3 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+112.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed Yes13c387.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.12330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+101.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b4c…4a18backed Yes25c379.24$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes15c350$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.23655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6473…19f7backed Yes17c345.59$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.751250%6 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+143.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x31ab…c575backed Yes14c299.97$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42100%0 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes15c270$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.71717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick21cpaid+15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe703…8d89backed Yes17c264.71$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4570%0 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes13c247.58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.225817.2%10 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05c1…1023backed Yes19c243.95$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf8…4487backed Yes17c241.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40100%0 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5243…a73cbacked Yes16c234$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6317…e864backed Yes16c231$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x02be…5bbebacked Yes16c206.61$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9430%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+44.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d8…9f12backed Yes16c177$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.32540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+71.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x208d…6fb3backed Yes17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba69…835fbacked Yes17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfad6…df10backed Yes16c176.31$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48f5…9dd3backed Yes16c176$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x703d…129bbacked Yes23c152.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+51.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…8191backed Yes16c151$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a38…2224backed Yes18c149.24$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2740%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3dc…68ffbacked Yes16c145.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+84.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce65…66fdbacked Yes16c145$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafa3…c3ddbacked Yes16c143$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba99…8f26backed Yes18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7366…69cdbacked Yes18c138.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa71…9767backed Yes16c137$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick22cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c97…516bbacked Yes15c135.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12e2…85b7backed Yes16c135$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3214…f00ebacked Yes16c133$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44bc…c53ebacked Yes15c133$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.95650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aad…ff47backed Yes17c131.39$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-69.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf58…c25bbacked Yes16c130$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick32cpaid+111.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca73…b02ebacked Yes19c125.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3e…d8d0backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-46.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a61…2c6bbacked Yes18c125$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3c7…7070backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-43.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x03b2…567cbacked Yes16c124$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadd8…8f4bbacked Yes16c120$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d12…bdf6backed No80c119$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.81040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-48.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd40d…b2fabacked Yes16c118$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf298…12f8backed Yes16c116$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a22…847bbacked Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23dd…7aa6backed Yes17c110.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1930%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7351…d700backed Yes16c108.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1730%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5532…850bbacked Yes24c106.25$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef8…1116backed Yes16c101.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes16c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.55345.3%24 W · 29 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+69.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe513…b842backed Yes16c95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0725…1ce8backed Yes16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7caf…3511backed Yes17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+131.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa990…84bebacked Yes16c82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x253f…e642backed Yes16c81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0284…8384backed Yes15c80.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa400…ec34backed Yes16c78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x460d…6232backed Yes16c73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa647…d77dbacked Yes16c73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.68425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54af…415ebacked Yes16c73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ac7…dc0bbacked Yes16c72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9464…b4cbbacked Yes16c70$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick27cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes16c70$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f4…0430backed Yes16c69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b69…6622backed Yes16c68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca67…2648backed Yes16c68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e55…59d2backed Yes16c68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24f8…351ebacked Yes16c68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…837dbacked Yes42c65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd326…c47cbacked Yes15c64.56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-67.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.