Boxing · resolved market
Will Anthony Joshua win via Decision?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb38be98ecb3e879accebd721511bb4801c7cd0c91ea1ed56b390ce94a65a71b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Yes | 51c | 22,050$11,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,136.47 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 15c | 6,805$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 9c | 6,110$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…64d0backed Yes | 18c | 5,603$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…9109backed Yes | 17c | 5,175$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Yes | 16c | 5,010$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.44 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ed…e774backed No | 65c | 4,647$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…7263backed Yes | 15c | 4,245$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2d…f033backed Yes | 17c | 3,381$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aec…d2d7backed Yes | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Yes | 2c | 2,300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6beb…6ea2backed Yes | 13c | 2,025$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 4cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed No | 50c | 1,656$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e4…a595backed Yes | 16c | 1,563$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…25dfbacked Yes | 17c | 1,470$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe20…67debacked Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c5…0ad1backed Yes | 18c | 919.52$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf55b…bc5abacked Yes | 14c | 909.72$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.27 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735f…0e5bbacked Yes | 18c | 849.36$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +192.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 14c | 848.59$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.37 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…017ebacked Yes | 26c | 699.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…c575backed Yes | 10c | 699.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa1…b815backed Yes | 15c | 649.69$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c7…3363backed Yes | 16c | 627.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +122.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1766…5705backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Yes | 45c | 583.1$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8389…a317backed Yes | 17c | 574.44$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +213%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabea…1c3fbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…1a79backed Yes | 15c | 542.8$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf9…0930backed Yes | 17c | 507.44$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 15c | 495.42$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.31 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 6cpaid | +470.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda1e…f3cdbacked No | 55c | 489.71$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cfd4backed Yes | 16c | 453.31$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d3…471cbacked Yes | 17c | 383.12$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…0305backed Yes | 16c | 380$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Yes | 18c | 378.18$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b67…c178backed Yes | 18c | 331.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e3…fd3abacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Yes | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7980…d382backed Yes | 16c | 295.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d7…5fb9backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +108%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d34…9858backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec1…3f21backed Yes | 18c | 280$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef8…1116backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42d…2e9abacked Yes | 12c | 241.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dcfabacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 32c | 198$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.43 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce9…b7d5backed Yes | 15c | 187.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703d…129bbacked Yes | 19c | 181.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…229fbacked Yes | 15c | 161.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f88…d9adbacked Yes | 16c | 158.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…ec93backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -73%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8410…d4ecbacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aad…ff47backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe703…8d89backed Yes | 17c | 118.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…f7aabacked Yes | 16c | 94.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd765…55e4backed Yes | 14c | 89.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 13c | 88.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349d…92dcbacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Yes | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b2…8d8bbacked Yes | 52c | 78.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 26c | 73.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e5…7c2fbacked Yes | 16c | 71.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…4323backed Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x836c…3d83backed Yes | 27c | 58.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c2…ba10backed Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb098…1038backed Yes | 37c | 41.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec85…8ba8backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +202%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a28…8e84backed Yes | 68c | 19.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anthony Joshua win via Decision?this page
- Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 1?No won
- Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 2?No won
- Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 3?No won
- Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 4?No won
- Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 5?No won
- Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 6?Yes won
- Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 7?No won
- Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 8?No won
- Will Jake Paul win in Round 1?No won
- Will Jake Paul win in Round 2?No won
- Will Jake Paul win in Round 3?No won
- Will Jake Paul win in Round 4?No won
- Will Jake Paul win in Round 5?No won
- Will Jake Paul win in Round 6?No won
- Will Jake Paul win in Round 7?No won
- Will Jake Paul win in Round 8?No won
- Will Jake Paul win via Decision?No won
- Will the fight end in any other result?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.