TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Will Jake Paul win via Decision?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,010
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,010 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe08e…1d61backed Yes5c10,038$500 inLost-$500728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+87.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Yes4c8,864$334 inLost-$334.141020%2 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfece…d6efbacked Yes7c5,000$350 inLost-$35080%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde24…25a8backed Yes5c4,000$200 inLost-$199.88244.2%1 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick15cpaid-86.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbcc9…26fbbacked Yes6c3,648$201 inLost-$201.05520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-73.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d02…6e32backed Yes7c1,479$100 inLost-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ab…c575backed Yes4c1,200$53 inLost-$53100%0 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d34…9858backed Yes5c1,064$50 inLost-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67c3…5cc8backed Yes7c1,016$70 inLost-$70633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-54.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7942…ead6backed Yes5c800$40 inLost-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef69…60c5backed Yes5c664.55$31 inLost-$3120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef8…1116backed Yes5c620.97$33 inLost-$32.64185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb2a…ec93backed Yes5c533.16$25 inLost-$25520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-73%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes4c400$15 inLost-$14.77714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+228%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc49…0daabacked Yes6c354.89$20 inLost-$2050%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d12…bdf6backed Yes8c350$27 inLost-$27.31040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-48.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3727…0b44backed Yes5c346.94$17 inLost-$1740%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba00…c92bbacked Yes4c325.78$15 inLost-$14.6360%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe149…c7ddbacked Yes7c289.91$20 inLost-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b67…c178backed Yes11c273.31$30 inLost-$3050%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x829b…0473backed Yes8c265.35$20 inLost-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2332…5e23backed Yes5c248.94$12 inLost-$11.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbc…f7aabacked Yes6c228.13$14 inLost-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Yes8c205.13$16 inLost-$161330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf56b…f7c6backed Yes5c200$10 inLost-$10911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-75.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9584…d3a0backed Yes8c185.05$14 inLost-$1430%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.