Boxing · resolved market
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79f8c080d843bf665fa89c7c9bd909d097b4e56c61f91f0813605474231a7c70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7669…d773backed Yes | 10c | 9,735$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b95…fe6cbacked Yes | 21c | 3,033$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 9c | 2,667$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.26 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4c…392fbacked Yes | 34c | 2,620$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 8c | 2,098$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +182.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…0266backed Yes | 8c | 1,279$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.35 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 9c | 1,007$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.54 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8157…f6ebbacked No | 55c | 868.89$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe20…67debacked Yes | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 13c | 796.04$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 9c | 525.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8389…a317backed Yes | 10c | 519.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +213%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa602…feccbacked Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 10cpaid | +348.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x208d…6fb3backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4075…8fb8backed Yes | 8c | 374.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 7cpaid | +482.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…3201backed Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb9…351fbacked Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked Yes | 12c | 300$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42d…2e9abacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 9c | 299.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd2…e516backed Yes | 10c | 298.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Yes | 12c | 279.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cfd4backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaec…0a9cbacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cc…5668backed Yes | 11c | 241.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 11c | 235$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…df35backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 9c | 200.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +243.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc835…6a0abacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…8f26backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23dd…7aa6backed Yes | 10c | 181.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46c4…86d5backed Yes | 12c | 167.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8a…e426backed Yes | 11c | 163.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b6…f8d1backed Yes | 12c | 159.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca9…afb6backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…d78ebacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…7070backed Yes | 9c | 138.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41e…c1b2backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c7…3363backed Yes | 10c | 125$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +122.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef8…1116backed Yes | 11c | 118.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…92febacked Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…df2abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c1…1023backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe703…8d89backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed No | 75c | 61.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 4?this page
- Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 1?No won
- Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 2?No won
- Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 3?No won
- Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 5?No won
- Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 6?Yes won
- Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 7?No won
- Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 8?No won
- Will Anthony Joshua win via Decision?No won
- Will Jake Paul win in Round 1?No won
- Will Jake Paul win in Round 2?No won
- Will Jake Paul win in Round 3?No won
- Will Jake Paul win in Round 4?No won
- Will Jake Paul win in Round 5?No won
- Will Jake Paul win in Round 6?No won
- Will Jake Paul win in Round 7?No won
- Will Jake Paul win in Round 8?No won
- Will Jake Paul win via Decision?No won
- Will the fight end in any other result?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.