Movies · resolved market
Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ddd79cc9e65c9f19a1345b847ae65e34e363d378d7ce58acb18ad21193704f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bb8…69edbacked No | 2c | 3,500$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed No | 11c | 2,180$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.8 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 9cpaid | +344.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 22c | 1,362$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.64 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.28per pick | 17cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 31c | 1,194$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.5 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbec…8dccbacked No | 69c | 1,180$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.2 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…7d87backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed No | 69c | 948$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.12 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…4c53backed No | 69c | 943$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed No | 72c | 941$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.52 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…77dbbacked Yes | 31c | 910$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.9 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…f15fbacked Yes | 30c | 896$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 68c | 854$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.94 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…aa57backed Yes | 28c | 822$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.84 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…96e8backed Yes | 31c | 789$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.41 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…9767backed No | 72c | 787$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.64 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 21c | 760$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…5eafbacked Yes | 28c | 675$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…7a33backed No | 69c | 653$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.57 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…1712backed Yes | 29c | 648$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed No | 72c | 635$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.2 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…a5b8backed Yes | 28c | 604$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed Yes | 31c | 604$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.76 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…8191backed Yes | 31c | 601$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.69 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed No | 69c | 595$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.55 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed No | 69c | 589$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.41 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes | 31c | 588$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.72 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 32c | 585$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.8 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea90…0f8fbacked Yes | 28c | 585$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…43e9backed Yes | 31c | 583$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed No | 70c | 580$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.48 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…f7eabacked No | 70c | 565$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…0918backed Yes | 31c | 550$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22ec…4477backed No | 71c | 535$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.85 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed No | 70c | 531$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.17 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…fecfbacked Yes | 31c | 527$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.63 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d26…c9f4backed No | 72c | 518$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.96 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 79c | 499.99$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.12 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfec…09a7backed No | 72c | 477$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.44 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163a…70a2backed Yes | 28c | 473$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…ec98backed Yes | 31c | 465$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.85 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…1bb5backed Yes | 31c | 412$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.28 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…7406backed Yes | 31c | 411$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked Yes | 31c | 404$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.76 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 70c | 400$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.01 | 266 | 41.7%111 W · 155 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed No | 69c | 395$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.55 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 69c | 391$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.79 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…4ca3backed No | 69c | 372$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked No | 69c | 369$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.61 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…7c01backed Yes | 31c | 358$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.02 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 71c | 349$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.56 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…0b1ebacked Yes | 31c | 349$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.81 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed Yes | 31c | 335$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.15 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked No | 69c | 335$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.15 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa5…2380backed Yes | 28c | 332$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…5c80backed No | 69c | 331$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.39 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…e858backed No | 70c | 331$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…ca53backed No | 69c | 325$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8e…9be8backed No | 70c | 316$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked No | 69c | 316$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.04 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…a73cbacked No | 69c | 316$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.04 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…c913backed No | 69c | 303$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…bdf1backed Yes | 31c | 289$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 45c | 284.2$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.78 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…bacbbacked No | 69c | 272$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.68 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…6b99backed Yes | 31c | 268$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.92 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b71…f1d9backed No | 69c | 252$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.88 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f545backed Yes | 31c | 230$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…0430backed Yes | 29c | 220$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb477…8f5abacked No | 37c | 210$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked Yes | 28c | 207$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.04 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2e…fe02backed No | 69c | 203$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.07 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c04…b9b4backed Yes | 31c | 203$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.07 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…b92cbacked No | 37c | 188$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…55e4backed Yes | 31c | 183$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.27 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf99…b970backed No | 37c | 175$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b2…ea4ebacked Yes | 31c | 174$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed Yes | 31c | 166$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.54 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…7070backed No | 37c | 165$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad04…dce5backed Yes | 31c | 163$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9220…d348backed Yes | 26c | 145.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked Yes | 28c | 143$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 35c | 141$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.19 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 78c | 139.91$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.55 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…e972backed No | 39c | 135$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa433…1064backed No | 37c | 134$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…ea40backed No | 69c | 132$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…58ccbacked No | 69c | 124$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…92d9backed No | 37c | 117$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe27…9623backed Yes | 31c | 115$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 30c | 113$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…6cb4backed Yes | 31c | 113$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6a…53e0backed Yes | 31c | 105$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 1.1%1 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…f00ebacked Yes | 31c | 97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.93 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…0959backed No | 69c | 92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…b35abacked No | 37c | 89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193e…6572backed Yes | 63c | 86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…007abacked Yes | 63c | 83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?this page
- Will Amanda Seyfried (Long Bright River) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Claire Danes (The Beast in Me) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Jessica Chastain (The Savant) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Sarah Snook (All Her Fault) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.