Movies · resolved market
Will Sarah Snook (All Her Fault) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43ef6215de269ea2f38e405a1fac985a60611efa3d7a75cf4e75608490babfc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Yes | 9c | 2,636$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.88 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 9cpaid | +344.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4d5ebacked No | 52c | 1,917$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 17c | 1,734$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.28per pick | 17cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 37c | 1,202$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.5 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb8…69edbacked Yes | 7c | 1,117$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…7d87backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 17c | 934$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.71 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 53c | 688.52$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.31 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 22c | 660.23$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.76 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +22.0wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +88%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 48c | 521.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.57 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Yes | 75c | 500$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 54c | 430.96$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.07 | 198 | 36.4%72 W · 126 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 47c | 421.73$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.93 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 19c | 403.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.77 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed No | 66c | 379.45$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 31c | 359.86$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.86 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 38c | 323.49$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.93 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…f975backed Yes | 9c | 302.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes | 34c | 300$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…0f57backed Yes | 58c | 293.61$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3c…c12bbacked Yes | 17c | 282$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x367f…7b0bbacked Yes | 14c | 243.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed No | 47c | 218.27$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f83…7bf4backed Yes | 58c | 197.92$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 55c | 196$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.84 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…f151backed Yes | 54c | 194.57$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 56c | 192.68$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.04 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…ac42backed Yes | 41c | 118$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3321…fefbbacked Yes | 65c | 115.3$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed No | 19c | 110$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1945…f8a9backed Yes | 41c | 104$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…2cafbacked Yes | 42c | 102$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5618…388bbacked No | 58c | 102$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…ef08backed Yes | 20c | 97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 59c | 96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c0…6a9ebacked Yes | 41c | 88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…672bbacked No | 19c | 86.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.87 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked No | 31c | 65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcae9…cc4ebacked Yes | 16c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44de…11d5backed Yes | 17c | 64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…9a7dbacked No | 46c | 61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…25c7backed Yes | 41c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f4…07f4backed Yes | 21c | 57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 34c | 55.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb640…4eb8backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…37e3backed No | 80c | 53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146b…02ccbacked No | 59c | 53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…8dc5backed No | 59c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8500…3de4backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 36c | 49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb122…9958backed Yes | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 63c | 44.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa762…1242backed No | 80c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…3e30backed No | 59c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc2…c707backed Yes | 73c | 41.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed No | 26c | 40.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ae…09ffbacked No | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf759…ee85backed Yes | 41c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…8406backed Yes | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…3447backed No | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf5…a842backed No | 59c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e7…5c71backed No | 47c | 35.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…c6dbbacked No | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ee…f60fbacked Yes | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c46…8b46backed No | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6740…a113backed No | 47c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce2…4f3abacked Yes | 54c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b4…8235backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e10…0766backed Yes | 41c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339b…d4cdbacked No | 59c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 67c | 26.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f54…cd2abacked Yes | 77c | 26.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8a…ddd3backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…1477backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf6…37e1backed No | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…648cbacked No | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f3…9648backed Yes | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75be…a67bbacked Yes | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f05…18d5backed No | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a78…2592backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ba…d55fbacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ad…6e2abacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b51…a4bdbacked No | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb04…2931backed Yes | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2e…c2bebacked Yes | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f35…d295backed No | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e1…1120backed No | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…ac67backed Yes | 75c | 17.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeded…4596backed No | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59cf…a6cfbacked Yes | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92da…b74abacked No | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sarah Snook (All Her Fault) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?this page
- Will Amanda Seyfried (Long Bright River) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Claire Danes (The Beast in Me) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Jessica Chastain (The Savant) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.