NBA · resolved market
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9462d4438c9e74e70867975a8e78e98d7510e33f8a73a17764493d5972ae72fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d7d…c5c7backed Yes | 44c | 9,113$4,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,009.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb34b…c8f7backed No | 56c | 9,113$5,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,009.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed No | 42c | 4,658$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.77 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…62e5backed Yes | 56c | 4,273$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 42c | 2,710$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.35 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 38c | 2,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.21 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked No | 52c | 2,283$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.78 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 51c | 1,991$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.91 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 49c | 1,597$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.45 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 58c | 1,295$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.69 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 55c | 996.51$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.7 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 42c | 990.17$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.3 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Yes | 37c | 847.77$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.71 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x911e…90d5backed Yes | 69c | 838.57$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 32c | 813.62$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.09 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…7829backed Yes | 58c | 736.17$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.98 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 51c | 731$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.81 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…973cbacked Yes | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 139 | 55.4%77 W · 62 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4909…65a6backed Yes | 71c | 651.97$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3aad…4e00backed Yes | 70c | 633.9$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.39 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 62c | 602.88$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.82 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 46c | 588$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.07 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…9eeabacked No | 42c | 564.99$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 58c | 511.86$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.88 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a7…30abbacked Yes | 60c | 500.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3da2backed Yes | 71c | 463.44$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.04 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc425…9a71backed Yes | 55c | 449.28$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked Yes | 68c | 408.83$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.01 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…fe1cbacked Yes | 54c | 399.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…bdd5backed Yes | 69c | 392.01$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 36c | 367.72$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.74 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4657…00d6backed No | 50c | 341$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.76 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e73…b728backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 51c | 333.55$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.29 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 41c | 333.52$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.73 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86db…e44dbacked Yes | 68c | 323.64$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed Yes | 50c | 303$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…9544backed Yes | 69c | 300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 303 | 58.7%178 W · 125 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcc…25e1backed Yes | 69c | 299.98$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.99 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e4fcbacked Yes | 69c | 293.54$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.54 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 44c | 292.74$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.57 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…bfb9backed Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 35c | 289.11$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.59 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 40c | 286.31$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.91 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 30c | 280$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…7df8backed Yes | 74c | 270.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 53c | 262.54$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.86 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed No | 50c | 255$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…842fbacked No | 52c | 243.14$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4c…44d8backed Yes | 50c | 243$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d17…1e5ebacked Yes | 51c | 239$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.89 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4c…be9fbacked Yes | 50c | 235$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.03 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Yes | 61c | 229.62$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.55 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -12.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked No | 30c | 229.54$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.68 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…f17fbacked Yes | 37c | 213.73$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.08 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…eae0backed No | 49c | 210$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x322a…3274backed No | 63c | 209$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.33 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 27c | 206.08$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.35 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e6…ea33backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf8…c7afbacked Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Yes | 52c | 192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dfbebacked Yes | 56c | 191.04$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…be7cbacked Yes | 51c | 183$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…3e96backed Yes | 43c | 181$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.83 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…d4f7backed No | 55c | 178$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…d40bbacked No | 49c | 174$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed No | 63c | 171$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…54a7backed No | 65c | 169$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad43…1a69backed No | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d7…824dbacked No | 43c | 155.28$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked No | 53c | 155$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff70…d3eabacked Yes | 63c | 147.85$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.34 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Yes | 52c | 145.97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.51 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fc…0c79backed Yes | 69c | 145.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8651…2465backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…9e42backed No | 49c | 142$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…4ab6backed Yes | 48c | 141.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed Yes | 41c | 140$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +72%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…b750backed No | 57c | 139$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…9b29backed Yes | 47c | 137$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b2…9ae2backed Yes | 37c | 135$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…029abacked Yes | 45c | 129.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed No | 59c | 129$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed Yes | 37c | 125$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…8211backed No | 62c | 122$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c8…2257backed Yes | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 43c | 119.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…fbfabacked Yes | 64c | 114.61$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b32…c8a9backed No | 49c | 114$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…a320backed No | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…5776backed Yes | 45c | 109.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 43c | 109.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 64c | 109.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Cup?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Cup?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Cup?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the NBA Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.