Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 6, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe587cc89472fde295b10545007a3b310fedc91c881426cf3a74bafff9f9b55ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef0e…06f9backed Yes | 0c | 18,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…62b4backed Yes | 3c | 10,211$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.35 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…4b60backed Yes | 9c | 3,973$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.64 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…83d8backed Yes | 1c | 3,859$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 1c | 3,607$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 3,407$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f56…2a4cbacked Yes | 7c | 3,350$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.93 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9d…d590backed Yes | 0c | 2,794$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a4…a4babacked Yes | 1c | 2,280$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…79c0backed Yes | 1c | 1,800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…b19fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,703$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 1c | 1,585$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8702…3c0ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,502$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 1,329$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 8c | 1,319$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.93 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…8191backed Yes | 36c | 1,318$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…8a8bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,317$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf952…767dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,289$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…9756backed Yes | 11c | 1,211$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.21 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.35per pick | 44cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…0dfebacked Yes | 9c | 1,186$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.73 | 165 | 7.3%12 W · 153 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccb…fbbbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,162$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…f17fbacked No | 72c | 1,077$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.56 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe336…6fcbbacked Yes | 39c | 1,071$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes | 4c | 992.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 927.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 228 | 2.6%6 W · 222 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 3c | 905.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 113 | 20.4%23 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…bac4backed Yes | 14c | 863.93$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 741.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5770…4397backed Yes | 2c | 690.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed Yes | 28c | 671$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.88 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed No | 64c | 630$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 608.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 74c | 602.34$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.12 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 17c | 593.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2acc…2865backed Yes | 30c | 583.34$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.74 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 2c | 580.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 154 | 34.4%53 W · 101 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…31e4backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…0fd5backed Yes | 14c | 491.09$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 17c | 391.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed Yes | 6c | 389.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 139 | 18.7%26 W · 113 L | -13.9wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x926a…3b1ebacked No | 64c | 378$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1b…6cc0backed Yes | 29c | 377.3$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.95 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +191%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…7bd2backed Yes | 28c | 315$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 9c | 313.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…deaebacked No | 64c | 310$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…fc65backed Yes | 14c | 260$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 213.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 14c | 213.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…c419backed Yes | 20c | 207$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4252…4a6ebacked No | 76c | 196.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 17c | 174.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…da02backed Yes | 8c | 172$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 18c | 166$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 15c | 157.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 20c | 147.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…3b48backed Yes | 62c | 145.91$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed Yes | 8c | 136.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…b48fbacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 33c | 131.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec8e…39b0backed Yes | 19c | 103.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…aaf1backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…8f2cbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…115ebacked Yes | 28c | 91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…a290backed No | 60c | 82.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6988…9f4ebacked No | 64c | 70.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x650f…a3e5backed No | 64c | 69.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…5ed0backed No | 74c | 67.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 21c | 67.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…5507backed Yes | 30c | 66.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb543…9961backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 25c | 59.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 33c | 57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 41c | 56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 243 | 8.2%20 W · 223 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed No | 53c | 55.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 169 | 61.5%104 W · 65 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…23bebacked Yes | 38c | 52.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed No | 48c | 41.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5670…bd63backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 40c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…7c61backed No | 77c | 39.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 62c | 39.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 84 | 82.1%69 W · 15 L | +11.8wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 60c | 38.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb867…6cafbacked No | 79c | 37.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…463dbacked No | 43c | 23.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -11.4wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2afe…e8a2backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb754…d9a3backed No | 70c | 15.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14d9…5d56backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on March 6, 2026?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on March 1, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on March 2, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.