Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 2, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecdd80f06fbde17c0e30ee86359f4a97cabb2ce8007e28215fab9029e656dc83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,496 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e42…0dfebacked Yes | 2c | 3,660$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 165 | 7.3%12 W · 153 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 1,641$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f56…2a4cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,461$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 1,323$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 11c | 1,322$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.35 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6962…745ebacked No | 77c | 974.94$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.94 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad9…861cbacked Yes | 2c | 675.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…83a4backed No | 72c | 610$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…00fbbacked Yes | 34c | 594.27$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.75 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57dd…c41ebacked No | 63c | 545.69$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.46 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 5c | 527.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…aa07backed Yes | 28c | 461$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.08 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed No | 62c | 449.99$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked Yes | 8c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…fc65backed Yes | 32c | 399.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.59 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…c419backed Yes | 6c | 300.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 33c | 299.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…b248backed No | 78c | 297.6$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 25c | 285.19$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…60b6backed Yes | 36c | 275.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b5…4c72backed Yes | 29c | 248.61$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +10.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked Yes | 42c | 239.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed No | 72c | 221.88$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf037…abf4backed Yes | 6c | 217.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc207…b24ebacked No | 78c | 192.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62fa…f6fabacked No | 77c | 192.75$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 27c | 192.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4252…4a6ebacked No | 62c | 170.56$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.56 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…a4c0backed Yes | 22c | 159.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 18c | 159.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6988…9f4ebacked No | 66c | 155.18$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 73c | 152.54$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168e…aa56backed Yes | 28c | 149$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4647…23aebacked Yes | 34c | 132.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 72c | 121.07$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…9cd4backed No | 75c | 116.1$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +7.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b39…4caabacked No | 67c | 112.93$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 16c | 109.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1647…4c4ebacked No | 70c | 106.08$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 27c | 105.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes | 32c | 100.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1427…145abacked No | 78c | 100.11$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e7…40b4backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…1e59backed No | 70c | 99.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9022…db5bbacked Yes | 37c | 93.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x416f…c768backed Yes | 36c | 91.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe99a…a923backed No | 77c | 88.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf5…661dbacked Yes | 34c | 88.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 145 | 20.7%30 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed Yes | 18c | 87.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed Yes | 14c | 83.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 139 | 18.7%26 W · 113 L | -13.9wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0202…55b0backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…fc98backed No | 63c | 79.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 19c | 79.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f5…e531backed Yes | 25c | 77.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed Yes | 37c | 72.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…f59cbacked No | 67c | 71.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 255 | 18%46 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x650f…a3e5backed No | 65c | 69.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 67c | 67.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 63.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3113…7f06backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…a290backed No | 70c | 58.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4a…7bd0backed Yes | 25c | 57.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…463dbacked No | 64c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -11.4wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeb91…f1edbacked No | 60c | 50.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 169 | 61.5%104 W · 65 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d55…04b8backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…23bebacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 35c | 47.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe268…61e0backed Yes | 45c | 46.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d2…0bc0backed No | 73c | 45.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb62c…bea3backed No | 67c | 39.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 41c | 33.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2362…6fd5backed No | 75c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0255…60ebbacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…9358backed No | 67c | 29.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd268…5609backed No | 78c | 29.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…da03backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…ed92backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8440…a714backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1301…2cf7backed No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7933…92b0backed No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…0771backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on March 2, 2026?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on March 1, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on March 6, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.