TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0255…60eb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.31
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+123.2%+$48.09
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+160.1%+$198.09
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$14.68
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kurds declare independence from Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$8.22
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$103.91
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$55.52
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.24
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-48.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.97
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.92
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 6 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-60.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grand Prix Hassan II: Ignacio Buse vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$59.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.