TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Stocks · resolved market

Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,484
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,231

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,484 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Stocks
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x516a…9ff9backed Yes21c21,869$4,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,276.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5682…97afbacked Yes78c15,032$11,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,358.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1281…8d51backed No61c11,817$7,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,153.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb01…02e5backed Yes28c11,184$3,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,098.7723253.4%124 W · 108 L+18.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x207d…52d7backed No79c6,200$4,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,89810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38ff…4a0abacked No79c5,300$4,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,18710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b8d…db9ebacked No79c5,200$4,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,10810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1bb…fa1abacked No79c5,169$4,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,083.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked No17c4,666$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe419…5839backed No71c4,065$2,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,890.62333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+146.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes50c3,972$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,980.5281240.3%327 W · 485 L+37.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12e2…36b0backed Yes66c3,009$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb4…b997backed Yes25c2,866$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,140.9299038%376 W · 614 L+2.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04d7…0001backed Yes35c2,818$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+43.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed No71c2,161$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid+19.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No75c2,150$1,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.526237%97 W · 165 L-11.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcba0…97bfbacked Yes26c2,058$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+277.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ef6…4daebacked No59c1,500$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-50.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a1…af66backed No46c1,445$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8045…5b8fbacked No64c1,439$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.47520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed Yes56c1,151$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.367332.9%24 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x934f…8f63backed Yes77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x578f…f112backed No50c871.58$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.4630%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed No11c801.81$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.24418.2%8 W · 36 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick10cpaid+128.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes36c801.36$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.251233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5ee8…1805backed No79c761.48$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed No31c738.99$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.14580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+65.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes20c720.81$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.125418.5%10 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-43.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd016…306dbacked No72c710$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7534…d51bbacked No68c706$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4d9…2a4ebacked No75c657$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f6b…267ebacked No18c655.49$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.5825%2 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+102.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc362…7f4fbacked Yes26c572$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+72.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6e4…369fbacked No65c570.48$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.653721.6%8 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid+3.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34fc…d14dbacked Yes23c553$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+121.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfcc…12a6backed No55c550.39$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.52757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011b…e44dbacked Yes29c544$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+246.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf53c…00acbacked Yes29c538$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1824…571abacked No29c511.69$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a2…36f2backed Yes71c499.99$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked No15c466.48$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.013630.6%11 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f6…595cbacked Yes25c461$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.57333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff7c…b233backed No22c448.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.536631.8%21 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507c…4166backed No63c444.56$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes25c430.52$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.926361.9%39 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe433…1700backed No71c423$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.3340%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb73b…67efbacked Yes30c419.88$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+237.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fae…1246backed No79c406$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.26425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-67.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06c1…f1f2backed No79c353$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+233.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa84…e985backed Yes36c350$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d02…6c00backed Yes39c350$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf58d…a617backed Yes39c346$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f0…58dfbacked No11c340.17$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.42666.7%4 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.54per pick13cpaid+533.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x1f7d…a315backed No60c336$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed No25c322.48$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8321820.2%44 W · 174 L-22.2wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-54.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4544…6859backed No28c316.12$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f85…e5a3backed Yes29c310$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2a5…51b4backed Yes27c302$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No71c299.99$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d24…a2e9backed No61c289$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x245c…75e7backed Yes22c285$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fce…2566backed No60c284.45$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.8350%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f46…01b1backed No77c283$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.9130%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x88c4…758bbacked Yes21c272$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…f8a1backed No74c264$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+142.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb97…b54dbacked Yes22c262$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd622…defcbacked No74c251$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f3e…f9d4backed Yes25c245$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.553100%3 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+474.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x89b1…799abacked No65c231.24$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512075%15 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cd5…ac33backed No70c222$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc43…abf5backed Yes79c216.7$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x088f…06a5backed Yes23c214.07$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+338.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4faa…fecfbacked No74c210$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+212.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e2…4c8bbacked No78c208$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x722f…f17fbacked No74c206$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dfa…61adbacked No31c205$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f0d…1683backed Yes23c202$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7176…6f9fbacked No77c201$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x300f…d366backed No63c200$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e6…6fcbbacked No78c200$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155166.3%1 W · 15 L-5.8wins-0.36per pick42cpaid-88%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x0b32…c8a9backed No74c198$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+130.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a3…01f8backed Yes76c197.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe136…cacebacked No78c195$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c2d…ddd6backed No79c194$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.2620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d66…fc54backed No69c190$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+146.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed No23c190$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8959…50f8backed Yes39c189$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc565…6662backed Yes15c185.6$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+564%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5e…f21dbacked Yes19c180$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick44cpaid+236.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c4c…be9fbacked Yes26c171$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick23cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5874…05f7backed No74c170$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes44c169.44$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.018524.7%21 W · 64 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d7…8c45backed Yes26c169.01$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa44b…eb27backed Yes22c163$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.14333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbfd…57bcbacked Yes31c160.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+221.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54d5…b5cebacked Yes22c157$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick18cpaid+127.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81e1…7265backed No29c152.14$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.12520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-66.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a91…0075backed Yes29c150$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5e…5c24backed Yes41c150$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+91.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad22…adc2backed No71c150$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.