Stocks · resolved market
Will Amazon (AMZN) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9ce6bdbe12a13edac7f8ca5bb9a2c8a50da0be47b01080867ca7d8b7c4eef5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 15c | 1,816$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.29 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +225.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…05d0backed Yes | 15c | 988.39$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed Yes | 14c | 695$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f3…f66ebacked Yes | 4c | 543.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 16c | 489$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.38 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…f0eabacked Yes | 14c | 409$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…7260backed Yes | 19c | 340$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked Yes | 18c | 308$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…6853backed Yes | 19c | 292$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed Yes | 19c | 259$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes | 15c | 245$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f6…595cbacked Yes | 19c | 208$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed Yes | 19c | 194$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Yes | 19c | 190.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed Yes | 19c | 185$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…3e62backed Yes | 15c | 184$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…f8a1backed Yes | 21c | 169$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +142.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 12c | 161.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…84bebacked Yes | 19c | 160$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…3497backed Yes | 19c | 152$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…88adbacked Yes | 19c | 144$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed Yes | 19c | 142$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…a64bbacked Yes | 19c | 134$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +137.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed Yes | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed Yes | 14c | 122$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 15cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 21c | 121$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8d51backed No | 79c | 121$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…a315backed Yes | 19c | 117$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…bacbbacked Yes | 19c | 116$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed Yes | 20c | 114$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f5…9dd3backed Yes | 19c | 114$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed No | 79c | 113$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed No | 80c | 113$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +198.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4c…be9fbacked Yes | 19c | 106$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 23cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c5…dcb1backed Yes | 14c | 106$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…e7e6backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…9008backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…f63cbacked No | 80c | 96$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…7a65backed Yes | 19c | 93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…0363backed Yes | 21c | 89.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…bab6backed Yes | 14c | 86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d82…3d02backed Yes | 19c | 81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c2…fcbebacked Yes | 14c | 73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…f199backed Yes | 19c | 72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1587…901abacked Yes | 19c | 66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…115cbacked Yes | 17c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc362…7f4fbacked Yes | 19c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…3e96backed No | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Amazon (AMZN) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?this page
- Will Apple (AAPL) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?Yes won
- Will Meta (META) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?No won
- Will Microsoft (MSFT) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?No won
- Will Nvidia (NVDA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?No won
- Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.