Stocks · resolved market
Will Nvidia (NVDA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35f20927091b3d3725d63ed337b61bc081578385a97c6e202d6d2aa687a7ebcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4181…de86backed Yes | 14c | 3,112$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 2c | 1,512$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +225.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 1,376$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.21 | 150 | 5.3%8 W · 142 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…c77bbacked Yes | 3c | 971.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 2c | 916.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 17c | 840.69$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.04 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f3…f66ebacked Yes | 4c | 568.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…e5a3backed Yes | 15c | 537$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4531…ce1fbacked Yes | 3c | 536.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2640…e647backed Yes | 5c | 470.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc3…6f24backed Yes | 4c | 464.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 14c | 457.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 12c | 386.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 565 | 48.7%275 W · 290 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed Yes | 14c | 350$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 341.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf23e…aec3backed Yes | 14c | 286$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f6…595cbacked Yes | 14c | 285$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…c6fbbacked Yes | 15c | 268$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed Yes | 15c | 262$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 5c | 257.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed Yes | 14c | 235$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 6c | 224$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ce…dddbbacked Yes | 19c | 223.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…bedebacked Yes | 30c | 223.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…9b29backed Yes | 11c | 223$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…4ab2backed Yes | 14c | 217$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…9008backed Yes | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e6…6fcbbacked Yes | 17c | 199.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -5.8wins | -0.36per pick | 42cpaid | -88%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…7fc6backed Yes | 15c | 191$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 183.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…7406backed Yes | 14c | 149$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed Yes | 14c | 145$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed Yes | 12c | 142$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +158.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2705…9796backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x214a…2debbacked Yes | 11c | 126.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a0…b7bdbacked Yes | 14c | 121$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed Yes | 17c | 113$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +198.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cb…ac3dbacked Yes | 12c | 112$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…1146backed Yes | 11c | 102$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…57e5backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…2c1fbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…e305backed Yes | 19c | 95.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…f0eabacked Yes | 16c | 85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked Yes | 14c | 74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed Yes | 17c | 74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…7154backed Yes | 15c | 72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | -19.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 74c | 50.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…d40ebacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…3834backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nvidia (NVDA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?this page
- Will Amazon (AMZN) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?No won
- Will Apple (AAPL) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?Yes won
- Will Meta (META) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?No won
- Will Microsoft (MSFT) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?No won
- Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.