Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda7e08d6a0d3974e1ffd48ab2d29b9eafd489ce8aef625894fce6dc7b95706c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 3c | 2,062$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b92…f4c6backed No | 36c | 1,441$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked Yes | 77c | 1,428$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed No | 36c | 1,331$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…8605backed No | 1c | 1,232$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…5adebacked Yes | 74c | 1,166$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked Yes | 78c | 1,151$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9e…bd49backed No | 37c | 1,121$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed No | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 14cpaid | +183.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed Yes | 71c | 992$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…3d05backed No | 18c | 960$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…7fd9backed No | 11c | 948$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b2…567cbacked Yes | 74c | 935$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…c0edbacked No | 23c | 930$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.84 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…a0c9backed No | 23c | 911$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…1bb5backed Yes | 67c | 904$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…2cdbbacked No | 28c | 904$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 5c | 897.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 182 | 3.8%7 W · 175 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 10c | 865.35$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…ed44backed No | 45c | 862$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed No | 33c | 859$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…7a33backed No | 19c | 857$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…6bdebacked No | 19c | 845$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x322a…3274backed No | 28c | 842$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked No | 19c | 835$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked No | 24c | 823$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b2…9ae2backed No | 19c | 819$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed Yes | 63c | 804$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed No | 17c | 801$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…b38fbacked No | 19c | 778$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.22 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff1…85cdbacked No | 11c | 769$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked Yes | 72c | 751$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fd…cc95backed Yes | 63c | 744.99$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed Yes | 78c | 744$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…dc10backed Yes | 78c | 742$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…a54dbacked No | 19c | 715$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed No | 19c | 703$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b4…c17abacked No | 27c | 697$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed No | 39c | 669$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…f3dcbacked No | 19c | 661$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.59 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b2…0eb2backed Yes | 57c | 647$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +116.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…f199backed No | 17c | 646$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 27cpaid | +219.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…8842backed No | 18c | 631$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed No | 17c | 629$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9151backed No | 20c | 628$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…4018backed No | 19c | 625$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked No | 19c | 606$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2b…fd2cbacked Yes | 73c | 603$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…6b99backed Yes | 79c | 595$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadc9…5856backed No | 19c | 593$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed Yes | 76c | 587$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…6cfebacked No | 28c | 584$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…d4f7backed No | 19c | 565$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.35 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -57%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…b461backed No | 28c | 556$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…77dbbacked No | 22c | 552$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes | 73c | 552$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…0b1ebacked Yes | 72c | 542$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…09dcbacked No | 19c | 535$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c1…704bbacked Yes | 56c | 528$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…cb02backed No | 18c | 528$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…6d90backed No | 28c | 503$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6034…b5fdbacked Yes | 56c | 497$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53de…b486backed Yes | 73c | 488$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd8…4790backed Yes | 80c | 484.22$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c6…7d80backed No | 32c | 475.01$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed No | 14c | 462.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked Yes | 73c | 451$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked No | 37c | 438$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.06 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…f745backed Yes | 63c | 438$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d17…1e5ebacked No | 19c | 430$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked No | 19c | 429$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…4569backed No | 18c | 428$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…e642backed Yes | 58c | 410$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…d9c1backed No | 42c | 410$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 3c | 409.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c07…956bbacked No | 17c | 402$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 3c | 396.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 104 | 2.9%3 W · 101 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed Yes | 76c | 380$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…9767backed No | 19c | 379$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 12c | 376.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed No | 18c | 369$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 9c | 358.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…c913backed No | 17c | 350$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 3c | 348.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 81 | 6.2%5 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…b332backed No | 28c | 344$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…c453backed No | 27c | 343$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed No | 24c | 342$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 32cpaid | +168.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed No | 28c | 341$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…09e0backed No | 19c | 337$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfec…09a7backed No | 19c | 336$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…a29ebacked Yes | 55c | 336$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed No | 19c | 323$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29e1…29f8backed Yes | 79c | 319$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…9f12backed No | 19c | 313$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19a…5b88backed Yes | 72c | 311$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e72…7de5backed Yes | 65c | 310$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 74c | 310$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed No | 21c | 302$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab38…77febacked No | 27c | 302$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?this page
- Will Dawn Buckingham come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No won
- Will John Cornyn come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No won
- Will Ken Paxton come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.