Us Midterms · resolved market
Will John Cornyn come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0680f000950c09bd53a6efc341eaa8b2ebe99111dd6f5dc80e6ba527c5b5e8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8132…a491backed Yes | 22c | 1,582$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,577$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 25c | 1,329$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…75e7backed No | 75c | 1,160$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 5c | 1,144$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 182 | 3.8%7 W · 175 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…e68dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,104$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x668b…3884backed Yes | 26c | 940$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…1bb5backed No | 74c | 900$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 5c | 884.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5884…3191backed No | 78c | 858$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 11c | 844.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…804cbacked Yes | 7c | 826.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…ebedbacked Yes | 26c | 796$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed Yes | 16c | 794$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed Yes | 17c | 762$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.54 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…f63cbacked No | 79c | 750$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…09adbacked Yes | 22c | 681$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed Yes | 25c | 668$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.93 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…83a4backed No | 75c | 648$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc636…5ef9backed Yes | 2c | 640$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…09dcbacked Yes | 18c | 639$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…aa57backed Yes | 21c | 635$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…a617backed Yes | 19c | 634$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…513ebacked Yes | 25c | 624$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…88f0backed No | 76c | 615$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…3421backed Yes | 15c | 604$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked Yes | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed Yes | 25c | 535$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941a…90c4backed Yes | 15c | 518$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…3497backed No | 75c | 512$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed Yes | 11c | 509$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91af…95c8backed No | 73c | 509$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…50f8backed No | 74c | 504$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1220…741abacked Yes | 27c | 467$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 3c | 457$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x647e…88c8backed No | 75c | 454$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked Yes | 26c | 445$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…834abacked Yes | 3c | 442.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…bab6backed Yes | 15c | 435$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba6b…b341backed Yes | 15c | 423$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1832…af9ebacked Yes | 19c | 419$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed No | 74c | 415$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc40a…1f50backed No | 76c | 404$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…1146backed Yes | 11c | 386$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…9e42backed Yes | 17c | 357$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…d4f7backed Yes | 11c | 343$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -57%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked Yes | 17c | 338$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 5c | 305$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…6cfebacked Yes | 19c | 301$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed No | 75c | 301$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 2.9%3 W · 101 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…7fc8backed Yes | 19c | 293$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed Yes | 14c | 267$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672b…68d2backed No | 74c | 237$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523d…cc1dbacked Yes | 27c | 226$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…5afdbacked No | 74c | 223$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Yes | 26c | 223$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Yes | 25c | 221$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…6b99backed Yes | 18c | 219.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…790abacked Yes | 10c | 214.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…c4c9backed No | 75c | 213$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 8c | 212$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 160 | 20.6%33 W · 127 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…7693backed Yes | 19c | 204$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb609…3c8ebacked Yes | 10c | 204$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 14c | 199$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 9c | 195$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47d…907bbacked No | 73c | 190$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…fa01backed Yes | 11c | 173.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed No | 75c | 166$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…fdf4backed Yes | 24c | 165$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 8c | 156.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 17c | 149.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…76d5backed Yes | 14c | 136$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…b332backed Yes | 18c | 115$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…7260backed No | 75c | 105$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…9ef2backed No | 75c | 97$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed Yes | 11c | 92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cae…c0eebacked Yes | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 76.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…c0edbacked Yes | 17c | 72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed No | 74c | 71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked No | 75c | 64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 17c | 61.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…a35abacked Yes | 26c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadc9…5856backed No | 80c | 32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…7a1cbacked No | 75c | 16.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will John Cornyn come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?this page
- Will Dawn Buckingham come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No won
- Will Ken Paxton come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No won
- Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.