Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Royce White be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd67ede2a8455cba13920d995ff5570a40146c6970e6e0a21174682c934c38d29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,214$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed No | 77c | 1,168$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…3e96backed No | 73c | 1,106$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.62 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed No | 75c | 920$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…f745backed Yes | 25c | 877$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed No | 73c | 777$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a0…b7bdbacked No | 75c | 745$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…d166backed No | 78c | 725$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b2…9ae2backed No | 77c | 686$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked No | 77c | 675$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf298…12f8backed Yes | 23c | 674$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.02 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5f…d395backed Yes | 20c | 654$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed No | 77c | 649$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9151backed No | 80c | 644$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 8c | 623.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…b461backed Yes | 23c | 578$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed Yes | 23c | 548$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed Yes | 27c | 535$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b8…0c87backed No | 77c | 529$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea25…d3aabacked Yes | 23c | 522$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…3d05backed Yes | 25c | 516$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes | 27c | 497$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed No | 73c | 468$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked Yes | 23c | 465$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1220…741abacked Yes | 24c | 455$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…ebc2backed Yes | 27c | 433$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…50f8backed No | 73c | 433$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked No | 76c | 431$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…0451backed Yes | 24c | 431$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed No | 77c | 425$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322a…3274backed No | 77c | 423$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed Yes | 23c | 411$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed Yes | 23c | 401$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…e68dbacked No | 77c | 386$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…f17fbacked Yes | 23c | 382$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5884…3191backed Yes | 22c | 357$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed Yes | 23c | 328$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…44ffbacked Yes | 27c | 326$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6278…3a93backed No | 80c | 306$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed Yes | 23c | 293$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 5c | 287$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked No | 77c | 285$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed Yes | 23c | 283$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed Yes | 27c | 280$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…6622backed No | 77c | 266$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03b2…567cbacked Yes | 23c | 266$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed Yes | 27c | 255$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddf7…5122backed No | 73c | 255$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…f3dcbacked Yes | 27c | 246$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…c0edbacked Yes | 27c | 245$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe335…cd12backed Yes | 22c | 235$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked Yes | 25c | 231$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…9767backed No | 77c | 222$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…6bdebacked Yes | 27c | 222$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 30c | 199.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…bb4abacked Yes | 36c | 196.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 23c | 190$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…c285backed Yes | 20c | 182$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b4…c17abacked No | 77c | 180$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Yes | 25c | 173$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…7922backed Yes | 6c | 172.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed Yes | 23c | 166$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ff…55f2backed Yes | 10c | 163.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 18c | 158.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…09e0backed Yes | 22c | 133$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked No | 75c | 132$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ef…79d6backed Yes | 23c | 118$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed Yes | 20c | 114$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…e5ecbacked No | 76c | 113$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked Yes | 23c | 108$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked Yes | 23c | 76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b2…b7febacked Yes | 37c | 72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…aa57backed Yes | 23c | 71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 74c | 64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 38c | 62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 250 | 30.8%77 W · 173 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…abe1backed No | 69c | 58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ba…b311backed No | 76c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…0b1ebacked Yes | 24c | 54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…217abacked No | 63c | 52.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed No | 77c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked Yes | 24c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 28c | 45.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 75c | 42.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 181 | 26%47 W · 134 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 71c | 28.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 75c | 27.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 74c | 26.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 74c | 26.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Royce White be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?this page
- Will Adam Schwarze be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.