Us Midterms · resolved market
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1909560c4a838e7a51b8cce7bee248e4197b00d3f840f17fd1d2496c8ae64f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,049 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 75c | 8,675$6,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,489.86 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 49c | 3,502$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.3 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 20c | 2,572$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.35 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…bab6backed Yes | 41c | 2,094$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed No | 61c | 2,016$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…9a8abacked No | 55c | 1,501$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…aecebacked No | 26c | 1,500$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +103%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed Yes | 76c | 1,455$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb109…4300backed Yes | 3c | 1,204$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 21c | 1,180$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 21c | 1,180$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.2 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked Yes | 40c | 1,173$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…2cf4backed Yes | 40c | 1,136$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,114$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.09 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 25c | 1,111$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.37 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 43c | 1,083$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.54 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 20c | 1,077$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.78 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Yes | 2c | 1,020$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 29c | 997.61$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.64 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked No | 59c | 992$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…cd8ebacked No | 51c | 982$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed Yes | 37c | 970$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 33c | 941.44$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.28 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 42c | 931.18$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.79 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…7c01backed No | 61c | 925$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…4c23backed No | 59c | 895$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed Yes | 41c | 872$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.52 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x523d…cc1dbacked No | 50c | 852$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…f894backed Yes | 11c | 838.31$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…434bbacked No | 17c | 823$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 33cpaid | +298.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed No | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6a…53e0backed Yes | 40c | 752.59$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…6d90backed Yes | 40c | 744$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed No | 60c | 739$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.64 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 56c | 728.02$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.08 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…6dddbacked No | 20c | 700$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…aa57backed No | 59c | 677$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed No | 60c | 665$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed No | 60c | 658$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…8842backed No | 60c | 645$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06cd…e124backed No | 60c | 641$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed Yes | 36c | 625$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed No | 61c | 597$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 13c | 587.14$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.96 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…c0edbacked Yes | 42c | 583$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.19 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2b…fd2cbacked Yes | 39c | 582$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes | 39c | 581$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.31 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 2c | 577.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cae…c0eebacked No | 58c | 575$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e15…7ff5backed Yes | 49c | 572$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 44c | 570.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.82 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11f…2d2cbacked No | 59c | 563$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…1f07backed No | 61c | 563$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6034…b5fdbacked No | 61c | 512$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d7aabacked No | 61c | 506$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked Yes | 40c | 504$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…42efbacked Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed Yes | 42c | 488$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Yes | 76c | 484$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…e68dbacked Yes | 40c | 481$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…5345backed Yes | 41c | 475$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4d…3e2cbacked Yes | 3c | 464.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed Yes | 39c | 459$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 38c | 458$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.77 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…7d5abacked Yes | 5c | 452.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked No | 60c | 452$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked No | 59c | 444$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…d166backed No | 61c | 440$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…0137backed Yes | 80c | 438$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b92…f4c6backed No | 64c | 433$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bb…e885backed Yes | 36c | 433$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c5…dcb1backed Yes | 41c | 432$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…fa2abacked Yes | 42c | 432$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 49c | 428.55$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.52 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked No | 60c | 426$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 32cpaid | +162.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…9d96backed No | 20c | 421$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 26cpaid | +311.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…aa8ebacked Yes | 49c | 421$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…98e8backed No | 51c | 421$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes | 41c | 411$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9818…7cd3backed Yes | 49c | 410$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…6622backed No | 61c | 404$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.56 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked No | 58c | 396$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1220…741abacked No | 59c | 393$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…a617backed Yes | 42c | 389$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed No | 59c | 385$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed No | 60c | 385$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…a35abacked Yes | 39c | 383$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed Yes | 41c | 368$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes | 40c | 365$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…e29abacked No | 60c | 359$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc886…696fbacked Yes | 41c | 355$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…a54dbacked Yes | 40c | 352$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed No | 61c | 340$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…f15fbacked No | 60c | 338$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…0b1ebacked Yes | 39c | 335$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 68c | 328.39$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.49 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…bacbbacked Yes | 41c | 323$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…96e8backed Yes | 40c | 322$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8132…a491backed Yes | 39c | 316$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked Yes | 40c | 313$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?this page
- Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes won
- Will Wesley Hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.