Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
NCAA Tournament: Double-digit seed to make Quarterfinals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x900859e27a606ec5f9be1e699d1ba4cd26027e942920146ca78048b004ef33f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8de5…9416backed Yes | 19c | 1,530$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed No | 66c | 1,292$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29f…26b4backed No | 66c | 1,270$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4744…e229backed Yes | 34c | 890$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed Yes | 34c | 854$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +149.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab9…2ff1backed Yes | 34c | 818$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…e5a3backed No | 73c | 778$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa347…2a40backed Yes | 27c | 765$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Yes | 14c | 749.02$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.83 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53b7…4146backed No | 73c | 706$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ae…bb88backed Yes | 27c | 701$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbe…3b30backed No | 75c | 694.54$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c8…a016backed Yes | 25c | 694.54$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…2d8abacked Yes | 27c | 694$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccb…6c69backed No | 73c | 676$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a10…e442backed No | 73c | 605$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…c6fbbacked No | 73c | 439$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Yes | 42c | 438.96$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.61 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…cabdbacked Yes | 52c | 381.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…8adebacked Yes | 27c | 349$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…f17fbacked Yes | 27c | 348$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…e59abacked Yes | 27c | 347$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 15c | 299.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 74c | 287.5$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.05 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…1fd2backed No | 63c | 273.71$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 56c | 240$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…82d7backed No | 59c | 186.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d83…d1dabacked No | 59c | 170.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed No | 55c | 144.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed No | 44c | 128.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f0…d345backed No | 60c | 101.88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e44…9d02backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…873ebacked No | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed No | 22c | 93.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6c…ee14backed Yes | 41c | 85.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed No | 26c | 65.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 24cpaid | +174%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a17…7154backed Yes | 26c | 54.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 22c | 51.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727e…8b9dbacked Yes | 31c | 50.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…0e03backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b5…91d4backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…169ebacked Yes | 22c | 48.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7e…6695backed Yes | 60c | 41.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…e61cbacked Yes | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…2d1abacked Yes | 60c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes | 55c | 23.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…8ddfbacked No | 77c | 20.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ada…b8a0backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 64c | 19.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3b…fb85backed No | 72c | 15.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.