NFL · resolved market
Will Pete Carroll be fired by February 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e8c4333687041f95187c8cd9abe5390aba738fde2907791e3cc319c1414f418
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 4c | 3,876$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.94 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…bb1dbacked Yes | 54c | 1,283$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed No | 46c | 1,072$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…f5bebacked No | 45c | 1,070$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes | 54c | 1,023$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed No | 46c | 1,012$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked No | 46c | 915$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed Yes | 55c | 887$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0d…1683backed Yes | 55c | 886$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…58ccbacked No | 46c | 792$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked No | 46c | 778$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…7501backed No | 46c | 765$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa355…a3a2backed Yes | 54c | 750$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed No | 46c | 743$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…333fbacked Yes | 55c | 737$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…2cf4backed Yes | 54c | 731$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19a…5b88backed No | 44c | 714$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…09e0backed Yes | 54c | 643$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385f…3c30backed No | 45c | 629$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…7154backed Yes | 56c | 614$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…6b99backed Yes | 54c | 608$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…7fc8backed Yes | 54c | 605$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…1146backed Yes | 54c | 573$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Yes | 54c | 568$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked Yes | 54c | 546$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked Yes | 55c | 538$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed Yes | 54c | 510$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…d4f7backed No | 46c | 509$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…4c23backed No | 46c | 506$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.76 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5518…1211backed Yes | 54c | 499$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…b461backed No | 46c | 486$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked Yes | 55c | 477$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…69d2backed No | 46c | 473$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…8211backed No | 46c | 472$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…7c01backed No | 45c | 462$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…cb02backed Yes | 54c | 455$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bb…e885backed Yes | 54c | 448$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…a35abacked No | 46c | 444$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…6562backed Yes | 54c | 437$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed No | 46c | 430$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…3497backed No | 46c | 423$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed Yes | 54c | 420$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…96e8backed No | 45c | 406$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 10c | 403.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2415…a7c0backed No | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed Yes | 55c | 381$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Yes | 64c | 379.75$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…3d05backed Yes | 54c | 377$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…a0c9backed No | 46c | 363$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…f15fbacked No | 45c | 357$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…3888backed Yes | 54c | 355$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked Yes | 54c | 347$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc7…1a35backed No | 46c | 347$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…f17fbacked No | 46c | 346$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…ca53backed Yes | 54c | 346$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9151backed No | 46c | 344$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 13c | 322.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked No | 46c | 317$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…513ebacked No | 46c | 316$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed Yes | 54c | 301$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4e…aa5abacked Yes | 54c | 296$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…f8a1backed No | 45c | 294$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed No | 46c | 290$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfec…09a7backed Yes | 54c | 287$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked No | 45c | 277$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed Yes | 54c | 273$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…1a93backed No | 46c | 261$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…55e4backed Yes | 54c | 249$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…891fbacked No | 46c | 245$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa770…84bebacked No | 21c | 239.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…ac22backed Yes | 55c | 236$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked Yes | 54c | 235$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed No | 46c | 233$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc40a…1f50backed No | 46c | 227$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Yes | 79c | 225.27$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…1bb5backed No | 45c | 215$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed No | 46c | 211$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked No | 46c | 201$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 37 | 0%0 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad7b…63dabacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…a20dbacked No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…2d89backed No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…eb62backed No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed No | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked No | 45c | 186$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4974backed Yes | 54c | 179$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…a29ebacked Yes | 55c | 177$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…9930backed Yes | 54c | 177$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed Yes | 54c | 161$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed Yes | 54c | 153$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…e0a4backed Yes | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…cacebacked Yes | 54c | 148$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cae…c0eebacked No | 46c | 146$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…aa57backed No | 45c | 143$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…af26backed No | 46c | 139$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pete Carroll be fired by February 28?this page
- Will Jim Harbaugh be fired by February 28?No won
- Will John Harbaugh be fired by February 28?Yes won
- Will Kevin Stefanski be fired by February 28?Yes won
- Will Matt LaFleur be fired by February 28?No won
- Will Mike Kafka be fired by February 28?Yes won
- Will Mike McCoy be fired by February 28?Yes won
- Will Mike McDaniel be fired by February 28?Yes won
- Will Mike Tomlin be fired by February 28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.