Movies · resolved market
Will "Zootopia 2" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82de55365524a403bb8f082860bcc45bf9877779572b576ba84919f38c8561b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc363…9fd8backed No | 19c | 2,150$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.71 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 7c | 921.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 71c | 695.25$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.92 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd30a…7621backed Yes | 69c | 442.37$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.34 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…d82cbacked No | 9c | 395$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e5…b7e6backed Yes | 74c | 389.53$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed No | 9c | 337$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…5c80backed No | 9c | 316$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed No | 10c | 310$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 10c | 301.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e4…abdfbacked No | 33c | 268.71$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed Yes | 54c | 237$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.53 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…d14dbacked No | 11c | 225$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed No | 18c | 211$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed No | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 19c | 195$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 23c | 190.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d1…a451backed No | 33c | 157.15$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked No | 20c | 153.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed No | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb4…21c1backed No | 42c | 150$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…9240backed No | 12c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc362…7f4fbacked No | 12c | 140$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…3c05backed Yes | 56c | 134.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…f0eabacked No | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeee…a4a9backed Yes | 60c | 111.11$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…11a2backed No | 28c | 104$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd278…19e2backed No | 39c | 101$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…e642backed No | 43c | 99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked No | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…85b7backed No | 17c | 88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked No | 39c | 76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…bab6backed Yes | 57c | 68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…3e96backed No | 58c | 61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c5…dcb1backed No | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 23c | 58.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…f17fbacked No | 18c | 58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…503abacked No | 37c | 54.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4008…28ccbacked No | 54c | 45.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 56c | 39.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed No | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 57c | 36.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…a0c9backed No | 58c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…1272backed Yes | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5673…98fdbacked No | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…beb8backed No | 33c | 31.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked No | 43c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…7645backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed No | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked Yes | 62c | 25.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0019…4352backed Yes | 62c | 24.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…087fbacked Yes | 61c | 20.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x214c…6378backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf785…e366backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7d…bf72backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Zootopia 2" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?this page
- Will "Zootopia 2" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "Zootopia 2" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.