Asian League · resolved market
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7c10461ca6c998381602744c7711e95d748c49eb1e0958b689ae5f6dfca0f1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 45c | 4,799$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 56c | 3,110$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.4 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 2,753$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.13 | 2,566 | 42.1%1,081 W · 1,485 L | +52.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 2,315$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.55 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…333fbacked No | 61c | 1,233$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…1a93backed No | 61c | 1,153$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…f17fbacked Yes | 39c | 873$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed Yes | 39c | 786$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…fa2abacked Yes | 39c | 764$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 44c | 755.02$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.01 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 733.99$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.32 | 1,656 | 50.8%841 W · 815 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f8…6c22backed Yes | 39c | 725$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…23c3backed No | 61c | 723$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed No | 61c | 720$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…ac22backed Yes | 39c | 709$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 57c | 707.99$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.2 | 937 | 46%431 W · 506 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd2…ae40backed Yes | 39c | 706$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed No | 61c | 697$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 44c | 681.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 167 | 47.3%79 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 55c | 672.08$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.01 | 1,796 | 50.2%902 W · 894 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…ef30backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed No | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 44c | 474$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.56 | 538 | 48.9%263 W · 275 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Yes | 45c | 444.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 56c | 434.35$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.11 | 1,143 | 46.5%531 W · 612 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 40c | 428.1$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.24 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 284.05$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.21 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 16c | 268.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 438 | 26%114 W · 324 L | -34.2wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 44c | 214.14$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.85 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 42c | 212.77$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.65 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…8bb6backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 55c | 179.94$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 178 | 51.1%91 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 22c | 170.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 1,529 | 54.9%840 W · 689 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 44c | 169.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 43c | 147.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Yes | 33c | 127.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 45c | 113.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 29c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 306 | 24.8%76 W · 230 L | -14.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 32c | 109$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 854 | 47.9%409 W · 445 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes | 45c | 87.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 55c | 83.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 26c | 81.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…a0a5backed Yes | 32c | 79.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 44c | 76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 45c | 71.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 44c | 70.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 44c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 55c | 50.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…4829backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 57c | 49.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 581 | 45.6%265 W · 316 L | -23.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Yes | 44c | 44.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 44c | 43.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 42c | 38.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x374b…9a1fbacked No | 61c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 64c | 36.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed No | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed No | 70c | 32.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +7.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…a602backed No | 77c | 31.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 77cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…b796backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yes | 44c | 30.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 55c | 29.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked No | 66c | 28.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 68c | 23.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 61c | 23.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 838 | 53.7%450 W · 388 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 69c | 22.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 79c | 21.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed No | 67c | 17.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-17?this page
- Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-04-17?No won
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.