Asian League · resolved market
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0969c3ca85ac580d596a6448a24efb195c626e911d045076f045455e3c44190c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 26c | 8,155$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,030.49 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 3,687$2,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.94 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 71c | 1,391$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.83 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 1,263$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.46 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 812.72$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.14 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 28c | 663.3$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.55 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 74c | 603$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.22 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 74c | 575$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.5 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 71c | 569$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.49 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 28c | 521.55$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.01 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked No | 15c | 499.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 67c | 313.43$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.43 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 308$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.92 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked No | 36c | 263.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 74c | 212.85$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.51 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed No | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 58c | 159.94$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 21c | 152.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 68c | 147.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 61c | 143.65$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Yes | 72c | 139.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…6ce4backed Yes | 75c | 137.4$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5865…696abacked Yes | 77c | 129.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 74c | 128.28$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.93 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 72c | 116.59$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 74c | 113$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.62 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 74c | 109.78$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.24 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b5…56cdbacked No | 35c | 99.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 55c | 97.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 74c | 90$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 72c | 87.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…f5bfbacked Yes | 65c | 84.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…148dbacked No | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 26c | 69.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba2…eb93backed Yes | 75c | 67.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked No | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0796…8264backed Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…c03abacked Yes | 26c | 58.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 26c | 56.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 74c | 55.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked No | 60c | 51.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 66c | 51.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 65c | 42.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 46c | 40.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 73c | 37.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 42c | 30.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…914cbacked Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 70c | 28.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Yes | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 69c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-04-17?No won
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.