South American Leagues · resolved market
Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3051cfc52d62cb2a0f8dfdf20354992554909e4203965928e5b055a4f5a7aff9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed Over | 74c | 1,996$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed Over | 74c | 1,723$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…bd71backed Under | 26c | 1,228$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…cd8ebacked Under | 26c | 1,209$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed Under | 48c | 1,063$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…3ea7backed Over | 74c | 835$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…fa2abacked Over | 74c | 816$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…588ebacked Under | 32c | 791$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…bf21backed Over | 74c | 786$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0895…4ddebacked Over | 53c | 721$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +250%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67f2…6a72backed Under | 26c | 703$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…ad61backed Under | 26c | 647$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6813…39e6backed Under | 26c | 646$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…513ebacked Over | 52c | 633$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7485…b217backed Over | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed Under | 26c | 588$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed Under | 26c | 573$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 425.47$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.16 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ba…e6cebacked Under | 47c | 255$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…f17fbacked Under | 47c | 237$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8433…6e0fbacked Under | 48c | 170$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…ab6abacked Over | 13c | 163$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +205.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…eb3abacked Over | 13c | 151$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62b6…e6d9backed Under | 10c | 138.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9efe…d947backed Over | 57c | 108$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…c705backed Under | 43c | 107$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 30c | 87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 70c | 81.41$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5this page
- Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5Under won
- Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 3.5Under won
- Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.