South American Leagues · resolved market
Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c7f364676653294dc2253aee7a42e69dfeb9c478af273b1111af8ea4496ee68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9464…b4cbbacked Under | 52c | 1,074$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…ba85backed Under | 52c | 983$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa347…2a40backed Under | 52c | 948$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca87…3701backed Under | 52c | 921$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3684…9669backed Over | 48c | 708$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…8e90backed Over | 48c | 685$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c90…17fbbacked Over | 48c | 664$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7c…a11bbacked Over | 48c | 649$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ac…d8c5backed Over | 48c | 628$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked Over | 48c | 592$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 51c | 393.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 282.28$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Over | 45c | 182.13$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.47 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 45c | 133.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 47c | 118.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 48c | 103.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 47c | 95.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4fcfbacked Over | 27c | 81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -9.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf1…796ebacked Under | 56c | 78.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Under | 71c | 77.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 45c | 44.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x669b…6557backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6137…7203backed Under | 51c | 38.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa88…9ff5backed Over | 44c | 27.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6a…089bbacked Over | 44c | 25.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…8e82backed Over | 44c | 25.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Under | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 19.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed Under | 56c | 18.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5this page
- Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 3.5Under won
- Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.