South American Leagues · resolved market
Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b9080753f2a92b1e5ff8c79c913d70e26d98e44b581d1f0f5e445a363ebb0c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked No | 50c | 1,161$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…a2debacked Yes | 54c | 1,109$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…a5b8backed Yes | 54c | 1,027$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed No | 46c | 742$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -48%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…ac22backed No | 46c | 719$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked No | 46c | 675$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked Yes | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…6622backed Yes | 50c | 409$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed Yes | 50c | 372$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 54c | 185.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 80.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 79.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 49c | 44.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 51c | 41.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…2cdbbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa837…2926backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 57c | 34.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6137…7203backed No | 45c | 29.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 55c | 22.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 54c | 18.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9293…b5fdbacked Yes | 75c | 15.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5Under won
- Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 3.5Under won
- Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.