Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb53ffde43e35724684bb172626e409c0fe93b57bb82a09264755073d1982f899

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $817,698
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $149,544

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $817,698 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes	1c	163,832$1,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,110	82	14.6%12 W · 70 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed Yes	0c	103,750$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.83	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18d4…1d3abacked Yes	0c	50,000$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	69	21.7%15 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	0c	47,701$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.32	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	1c	38,915$532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$532.12	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes	0c	35,736$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.84	127	9.4%12 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2362…2ec5backed Yes	0c	33,688$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.75	44	2.3%1 W · 43 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-96.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes	1c	23,950$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.75	67	19.4%13 W · 54 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+63.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x576f…ed2cbacked Yes	0c	15,150$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.3	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes	0c	14,282$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.56	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-3.4wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	2c	13,913$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.85	56	23.2%13 W · 43 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9337…a410backed Yes	0c	12,322$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.14	118	11.9%14 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	2c	10,372$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.07	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadeb…d984backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae27…e786backed Yes	2c	9,494$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes	0c	9,250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	245	39.6%97 W · 148 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3dd…975fbacked Yes	1c	6,472$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.96	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43ac…efa9backed Yes	1c	5,701$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.54	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-82.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes	3c	5,431$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.44	198	18.7%37 W · 161 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fef…cdcbbacked Yes	4c	5,155$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	20cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes	0c	5,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98af…3a0dbacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8798…76cebacked Yes	1c	5,000$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	80	13.8%11 W · 69 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7803…c9afbacked Yes	4c	4,844$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes	1c	4,618$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.66	120	25%30 W · 90 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2d5…df2fbacked Yes	3c	4,361$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	29	31%9 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa9a…099fbacked Yes	3c	3,846$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	84	15.5%13 W · 71 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18ce…5d26backed Yes	1c	3,675$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	91	8.8%8 W · 83 L	-6.2wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6faf…de48backed Yes	0c	3,467$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	202	24.8%50 W · 152 L	-15.8wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	1c	3,172$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.91	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade5…0113backed Yes	0c	3,136$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.61	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Yes	3c	3,016$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.41	78	50%39 W · 39 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac25…147abacked Yes	3c	2,917$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.03	180	43.9%79 W · 101 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa29a…09c7backed Yes	1c	2,900$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.1	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	2,744$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.38	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd914…0d9abacked Yes	4c	2,603$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	80	28.8%23 W · 57 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e92…71a6backed Yes	1c	2,366$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.83	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes	1c	2,314$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.76	361	23.5%85 W · 276 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe379…d124backed Yes	1c	1,740$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.74	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	4cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5afc…2995backed Yes	1c	1,535$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.46	79	35.4%28 W · 51 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd59e…fa6ebacked Yes	2c	1,503$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad1e…2ad4backed Yes	3c	1,500$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	60	33.3%20 W · 40 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-15%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x11bf…770dbacked Yes	3c	1,451$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.67	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	1c	1,408$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.42	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c19…ea4dbacked Yes	2c	1,191$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.82	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x720a…6869backed Yes	4c	1,165$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.17	48	20.8%10 W · 38 L	-4.2wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa34b…9d48backed Yes	4c	1,081$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes	4c	1,054$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.34	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x735f…0e5bbacked Yes	2c	1,053$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	37	13.5%5 W · 32 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-76%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb4b5…1bd4backed Yes	3c	1,008$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.09	70	37.1%26 W · 44 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-35%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76c4…bbc5backed Yes	4c	987.93$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	45	60%27 W · 18 L	+8.0wins	+0.18per pick	42cpaid	+36.5%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x671a…ebb2backed Yes	3c	925.93$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5979…7fbdbacked Yes	4c	840.55$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.14	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.22per pick	35cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c71…2e65backed Yes	4c	820.05$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe9d…a3c8backed Yes	3c	685.77$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.83	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-62.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	2c	682.76$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.03	37	0%0 W · 37 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes	2c	663.61$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.45	116	11.2%13 W · 103 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-66.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes	2c	660.46$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.66	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39a8…7d57backed Yes	3c	643.49$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes	4c	605$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.17	40	2.5%1 W · 39 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-88.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x287e…cbf5backed Yes	3c	576.92$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f4…f095backed Yes	4c	408.69$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.84	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde8d…8947backed Yes	3c	385$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	4c	316.44$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.65	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39e5…24f1backed Yes	4c	308.71$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.76	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93bd…4c05backed Yes	4c	250.23$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	4c	224.24$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.06	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaefd…ae0abacked Yes	71c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.2	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event