TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Bukayo Saka be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,594,522
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,221,237

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,594,522 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2275…fb3cbacked Yes0c320,522$703 inLost-$702.99296.9%2 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick2cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8658…f20fbacked Yes0c276,491$608 inLost-$608.11313.2%1 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-53.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes0c146,715$610 inLost-$609.841529.9%15 W · 137 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes0c27,163$57 inLost-$57.4136123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes0c19,237$19 inLost-$19.241233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+48.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x205b…8edfbacked Yes0c14,670$15 inLost-$14.673710.8%4 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-56.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes1c14,273$97 inLost-$97.088,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4563…9e8ebacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost-$10922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick13cpaid-42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes1c8,908$52 inLost-$51.732,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc31a…bfb2backed Yes1c7,835$50 inLost-$508320.5%17 W · 66 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a2f…b61bbacked Yes0c7,530$15 inLost-$15.06160%0 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49b7…4929backed Yes1c6,196$50 inLost-$502236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-41.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x281f…3e7ebacked Yes1c5,419$46 inLost-$464219%8 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-47.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf20e…36d0backed Yes1c5,394$50 inLost-$50248.3%2 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-86.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Yes0c3,500$16 inLost-$15.524825.8%64 W · 184 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf2…7279backed Yes1c3,500$23 inLost-$22.54020%8 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-42.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c3,128$20 inLost-$19.862021.5%3 W · 199 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid-52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b81…17f7backed Yes1c3,000$15 inLost-$152330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb37…ff74backed Yes1c2,105$11 inLost-$10.528822.7%20 W · 68 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16dd…adf5backed Yes1c1,742$20 inLost-$203116.1%5 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-47.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes1c1,481$11 inLost-$1160821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3003…dd1bbacked Yes2c650$10 inLost-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.