Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a743d2c48a6ffc5763e2209d4cf1053ccbae1a6eb80cc33bd702a3fe4b10156

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,647,205
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,942,707

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,647,205 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x90d8…904cbacked Yes	0c	406,615$813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$813.23	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a2f…b61bbacked Yes	0c	346,380$693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$692.76	16	0%0 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes	0c	100,210$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.68	67	19.4%13 W · 54 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+63.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes	1c	94,180$1,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,037.54	152	9.9%15 W · 137 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x326f…802dbacked Yes	0c	71,515$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.6	77	14.3%11 W · 66 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e6…0329backed Yes	0c	58,606$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.14per pick	21cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf83e…e1f8backed Yes	0c	48,682$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.39	25	12%3 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Yes	3c	41,395$1,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,430.65	144	28.5%41 W · 103 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes	0c	36,368$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.37	35	5.7%2 W · 33 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-83.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec57…e0acbacked Yes	5c	30,793$1,559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,559	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	0c	16,918$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.61	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes	1c	12,468$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.2	141	16.3%23 W · 118 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	3c	11,649$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.02	35	5.7%2 W · 33 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-70.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe075…a98cbacked Yes	5c	11,309$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa77a…f8f2backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.29per pick	46cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x759d…892dbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5777…3e40backed Yes	0c	9,500$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	8,400$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.15	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2659…a631backed Yes	0c	7,725$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91b7…01e8backed Yes	1c	7,715$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.96	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a7b…e9ebbacked Yes	3c	7,260$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.57	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes	6c	7,000$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ce…fe1fbacked Yes	1c	6,990$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.13	48	33.3%16 W · 32 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4588…c406backed Yes	1c	5,957$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.42	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…8397backed Yes	0c	5,886$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.48	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+4.3wins	+0.25per pick	39cpaid	+54.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf870…ae68backed Yes	0c	5,745$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	3c	5,727$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.85	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43ac…efa9backed Yes	1c	5,695$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.38	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-82.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7803…c9afbacked Yes	4c	5,271$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde68…4b16backed Yes	0c	5,111$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f84…be62backed Yes	0c	4,943$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	1c	4,896$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.84	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e47…919dbacked Yes	3c	4,832$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133	84	42.9%36 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes	0c	4,700$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cd2…66f8backed Yes	1c	4,360$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.15	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd164…d0abbacked Yes	2c	4,326$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.22	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x891e…c1c9backed Yes	1c	4,303$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.03	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes	0c	4,256$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.32	197	13.7%27 W · 170 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d4…1d3abacked Yes	2c	4,000$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.76	69	21.7%15 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	5c	3,907$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.36	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e7c…085cbacked Yes	1c	3,883$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3231…a113backed Yes	6c	3,536$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.29	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4424…4cc6backed Yes	0c	3,337$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	37	13.5%5 W · 32 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6821…f021backed Yes	5c	3,273$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.59	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	3,248$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.38	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2736…4f36backed Yes	6c	3,187$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes	5c	3,159$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.59	462	23.2%107 W · 355 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes	3c	2,992$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.75	186	14.5%27 W · 159 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dc7…116fbacked Yes	2c	2,937$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae1e…dba2backed Yes	2c	2,878$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1566…86afbacked Yes	2c	2,800$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x593e…31b2backed Yes	1c	2,354$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	16cpaid	-84.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6fe…8b90backed Yes	3c	2,267$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-57%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…c9bfbacked Yes	4c	2,213$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Yes	5c	2,212$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	99	39.4%39 W · 60 L	+5.5wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x281f…3e7ebacked Yes	6c	2,170$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.56	42	19%8 W · 34 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ca…2b3fbacked Yes	5c	2,146$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.2	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda63…4378backed Yes	4c	2,128$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	35cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e41…3745backed Yes	5c	2,128$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	63	38.1%24 W · 39 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes	3c	2,108$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.12	489	61.3%300 W · 189 L	+71.0wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x3890…3cd6backed Yes	9c	2,039$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cd1…1eb0backed Yes	1c	2,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	44	25%11 W · 33 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes	2c	2,000$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.9	61	27.9%17 W · 44 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fe1…befbbacked Yes	5c	1,996$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.24	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.12per pick	29cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	2c	1,968$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.91	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes	6c	1,947$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.54	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	39cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes	4c	1,912$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.52	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d1…c0f2backed Yes	1c	1,912$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.15per pick	65cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4d…6245backed Yes	1c	1,792$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28d0…7ed2backed Yes	5c	1,727$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d5a…5323backed Yes	4c	1,723$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c3a…7ae9backed Yes	8c	1,602$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.69	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5600…e721backed Yes	2c	1,563$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fa8…d720backed Yes	6c	1,558$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	60	8.3%5 W · 55 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-72%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes	4c	1,544$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.78	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	1c	1,499$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.57	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5161…ea7fbacked Yes	6c	1,415$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.66	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-26%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xed0d…bc18backed Yes	4c	1,411$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	82	31.7%26 W · 56 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb410…56b7backed Yes	1c	1,397$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	127	33.1%42 W · 85 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ce8…6621backed Yes	4c	1,389$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	5cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fdb…cd44backed Yes	4c	1,324$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff93…2072backed Yes	3c	1,291$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0295…ed9dbacked Yes	4c	1,288$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ac6…ca2dbacked Yes	4c	1,285$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.20per pick	20cpaid	+90.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x436e…9a0abacked Yes	4c	1,284$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfdf8…37a8backed Yes	2c	1,250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-22%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Yes	1c	1,235$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.82	101	36.6%37 W · 64 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…317dbacked Yes	4c	1,220$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+160.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	3c	1,198$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.18	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes	2c	1,190$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.04	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5e4…f534backed Yes	4c	1,149$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.54	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a8…7d57backed Yes	3c	1,146$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4563…9e8ebacked Yes	1c	1,133$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.10per pick	13cpaid	-42%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Yes	5c	1,105$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	59	32.2%19 W · 40 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe89…e3c0backed Yes	3c	1,088$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	82	45.1%37 W · 45 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5149…1fc0backed Yes	7c	1,067$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.67	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55d7…c83cbacked Yes	5c	1,064$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x787a…efdebacked Yes	7c	1,055$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.79	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	18cpaid	-82.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes	4c	1,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x47f7…0312backed Yes	4c	1,000$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	+5.8wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	-5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 51 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event