TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,529
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,837

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,529 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over17c1,779$302 inLost-$301.984,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba9…f812backed Over30c1,572$472 inLost-$471.767913.9%11 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under70c1,429$1,000 inWon+$428.5746550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over29c999.61$290 inLost-$289.8933149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a20…bda6backed Over29c844.15$246 inLost-$245.752236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under71c703.79$500 inWon+$204.12,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under70c367.64$257 inWon+$110.2946546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd00a…8126backed Under77c259.74$200 inWon+$59.744528.9%13 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over30c230.82$69 inLost-$6916737.7%63 W · 104 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under70c162.92$114 inWon+$48.731,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under72c146.6$106 inWon+$41.0532855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Under70c139.12$98 inWon+$41.3111243.8%49 W · 63 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Over31c80.65$25 inLost-$259822.4%22 W · 76 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b91…fb9dbacked Over30c66.67$20 inLost-$208417.9%15 W · 69 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7940…47e7backed Over27c61.16$17 inLost-$16.519947.5%47 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under69c50.62$35 inWon+$15.692,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Over29c50$15 inLost-$14.514829.1%43 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb09a…d6a8backed Over30c49.7$15 inLost-$14.919168.1%62 W · 29 L+17.8wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+42.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under71c35.33$25 inWon+$10.163,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under70c27.37$19 inWon+$8.2141344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under71c23.73$17 inWon+$6.8884751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under71c23.73$17 inWon+$6.881,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under73c20.75$15 inWon+$5.68,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under74c20.45$15 inWon+$5.322,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3701…603cbacked Under74c20.27$15 inWon+$5.273040%12 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under70c15.99$11 inWon+$4.843,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.