TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$471,226
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$521,412

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $471,226 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over2c53,367$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.791,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over17c46,250$7,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,862.421,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59b5…4c12backed Over0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-88.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under62c17,139$10,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,475.4766846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over16c16,132$2,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,631.271,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over13c15,538$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,973.652,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Under75c11,110$8,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,787.469742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+94.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over16c8,030$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.588,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over5c7,020$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.683,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over3c6,902$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.075731.6%18 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under57c6,388$3,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,752.5385550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over3c6,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over15c5,923$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.012,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over17c5,555$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.3532029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over4c5,118$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.052,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over16c4,938$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.1559230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over5c4,595$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.5844539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69a1…22b8backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002763%17 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+47.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over2c3,998$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.113,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Over64c3,833$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,459.722959.4%136 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf8b…cb2cbacked Over3c3,455$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.992035%7 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over3c3,248$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.447431.1%23 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Over3c3,248$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.443727%10 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over8c3,125$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.5533843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over16c3,104$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.642,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50011448.2%55 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf21b…0167backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+103.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd8dd…21a8backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa99a…388ebacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb70…f009backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9264…5453backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002045%9 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54fb…e7f3backed Under16c2,994$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,502.7310533.3%35 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over3c2,567$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0134731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over22c2,094$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.342,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Over3c1,888$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633727%10 W · 27 L-5.9wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-45.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under50c1,581$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.6320150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Under50c1,567$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.3651429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed Over18c1,282$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.733534.3%12 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8a7…c881backed Over2c1,244$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308347%39 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd64d…28a6backed Under40c1,226$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.948445.2%38 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb9…8429backed Over16c1,219$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1956241.9%26 W · 36 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over23c1,180$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.352,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over3c1,177$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.321,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Over17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc679…e427backed Over17c1,108$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.4490%0 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over6c1,080$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.511,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over3c1,031$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.93626.5%4 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff1a…4475backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+55.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18021640.7%88 W · 128 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over17c944.24$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.5214612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…2a6abacked Over3c925.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255117.6%9 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-3.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc66b…494bbacked Under50c904.11$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.493557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92ec…2a53backed Over17c882.35$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over13c879.97$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6543826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde01…a938backed Over17c779.8$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.576440.6%26 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Under20c742$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.1113552.6%71 W · 64 L+25.9wins+0.19per pick33cpaid+129%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Over6c713.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9827154.6%148 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f02…c78fbacked Over15c700$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10812047.5%57 W · 63 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1326…fdffbacked Over17c652.94$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11118936%68 W · 121 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc39…8905backed Over16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9837…ad59backed Over16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014534.5%50 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under60c571.42$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.5736235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Over16c563$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0827637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44b5…11a3backed Over29c542.2$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.92837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde3c…6ea6backed Under3c506.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.861855.6%10 W · 8 L+7.3wins+0.41per pick15cpaid+300.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Over3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153151.6%16 W · 15 L+6.2wins+0.20per pick32cpaid+92.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1538437%142 W · 242 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over16c499.97$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8015920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under50c449.27$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.11,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Over16c412.5$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6622914%32 W · 197 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over17c411.76$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010832.4%35 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Over7c409.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.475719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Over17c401.19$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.622135.3%78 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Over16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6414829.1%43 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over18c399.64$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9434144.3%151 W · 190 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over12c396.61$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.841,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8cc6…85f2backed Over17c377$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.093259.4%19 W · 13 L+6.3wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+57.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under50c370.37$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.1923857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5618…f2c0backed Over17c365$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.673164.5%20 W · 11 L+6.9wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+89.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under77c352.17$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7237650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over14c346.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under46c345.14$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.1725049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c26…1d30backed Over51c344.41$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.463040%12 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under78c317.16$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5187837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc96…1245backed Over31c294.45$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.911428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.9wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-60.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9ba6…680dbacked Over17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509937.4%37 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over17c282.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487424.3%18 W · 56 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+33.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaed9…c813backed Over18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick17cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over15c266.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4033544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Over13c259.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2715040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Over17c249.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.59919.2%19 W · 80 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over6c232.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.742,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2a…9997backed Over17c226.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.565431.5%17 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over9c225.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4315932.7%52 W · 107 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Over16c220$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.28318.1%15 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Over7c209.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.282725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over17c205.88$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3543819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over8c200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523820.6%49 W · 189 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.